Category Archives: coronavirus

Nicola Oliver on capacity within the NHS

  We are reliant upon healthcare capacity to reduce the severity of this pandemic in terms of morbidity and mortality. One of the key challenges will be how a health system copes in times of increased demand. This is contingent … Continue reading

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A library of COVID-19 actuarial responses

When I posted this library,  the actuaries who’ve blogged had no central library of their work. So I published their articles on my blog and curated them here. All the articles they’ve written have also been published on linked in  … Continue reading

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Actuaries make this Friday good – their weekly Covid19 round-up.

The authors, Matt Fletcher (left) and Dan Ryan (right)   Every week, more is written on COVID-19 than any individual could possibly read. Collectively, the COVID19 Actuaries Response Group read more about the outbreak than most, so they’ve decided each … Continue reading

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Latest; from COVID-19 Actuaries Response Group

The Covid19 Actuaries have taken to doing weekly round-ups. This one’s co-authored by Matt and Nicolas. Both have already published articles on here but Nicola gets the photo as she missed out last time (and because it’s an intriguing photo).Thanks … Continue reading

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How modelling helps us understand and deal with the pandemic.

Introduction Fighting this COVID-19 pandemic requires a good grasp on how the virus spreads, impacts health care demand and could be managed. This bulletin highlights some examples of how mathematical modelling has contributed to the understanding and intervention of this … Continue reading

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Suppression vs Mitigation. What’s this all about?

Introduction Put simply the community of nations is responding to the COVID-19 pandemic by trying to implement a suppression strategy.  The UK government initially proposed an alternative mitigation strategy never before tried in any recorded history, but has now moved … Continue reading

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Social distancing – UK is not like China!

A new paper “An international comparison of the second derivative of COVID-19 deaths after implementation of social distancing measures” has received some attention over the weekend. Perhaps because it was published by individuals from the same university, the paper has … Continue reading

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So what is a Coronavirus?

In the second paper shared by the C19 Group, Nicola Oliver tells us what Coronaviruses are and how they can be deadly. She explains why they impact in different ways. Thanks to Nicola and Stuart and other members of the … Continue reading

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Confound #covidiots; best practice in a time of crisis.

Do everything as good as this It’s important that over the next few weeks, we don’t let standards slip. There’s a temptation for us to “shut up shop”, because others have to shut up their shops, But business standards have … Continue reading

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Will Covid19 make Britain a fairer place?

  There are signs that the pandemic has jolted Britain out of the lethargy that has persisted since the last economic crisis. In this blog, I simply reprint  the comments of Torsten Bell , CEO of the Resolution Foundation, which … Continue reading

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