Tag Archives: Coronavirus

Statistical impact of the vaccines in the UK – Covid ARG

Posted on February 12, 2021 by henry tapper

 Tim Cook and John Roberts for In December we published a bulletin validating the UK government’s vaccine priority order, and suggesting that 99% of deaths will be spared by vaccinating the first nine priority groups. We followed that up in … Continue reading →

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A clap (not a slap) for the NHS

Posted on July 6, 2020 by henry tapper

  At 5pm yesterday I was clapping the NHS in hospital , shortly having received keyhole surgery. I have had good grounds for thanking the NHS over the past twelve months. As I  lay in bed last night I could … Continue reading →

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“Mind the lag”; what we can learn from the States

Posted on June 27, 2020 by henry tapper

In America they said the virus was beaten, and the virus wasn’t beaten This alarming chart illustrates the poor job the U.S. has done in containing Covid-19 compared to the European Union, a bigger region of independent countries that suffered … Continue reading →

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C19 Actuaries weekly report – 16 May

Posted on May 16, 2020 by henry tapper

Every week, more is written on COVID-19 than any individual could possibly read. Collectively, the COVID19 Actuaries Response Group read more about the outbreak than most, so we’ve decided each Friday to provide you with a curated list of the … Continue reading →

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COVID-19 Actuaries; (6th weekly report)

Posted on May 8, 2020 by henry tapper

  Every week, more is written on COVID-19 than any individual could possibly read. Collectively, the COVID19 Actuaries Response Group read more about the outbreak than most, so we’ve decided each Friday to provide you with a curated list of … Continue reading →

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COVID-19 ; Vaccines and Antivirals

Posted on May 7, 2020 by henry tapper

  What is a vaccine? Vaccination is the administration of a vaccine to help the immune system develop protection from a disease which is achieved by essentially imitating an infection. Vaccines have historically been constructed to  contain either inactivated viruses … Continue reading →

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Risk factors for COVID-19

Posted on May 1, 2020 by henry tapper

  Introduction A primary objective of epidemiology in respect of any disease is to establish the ‘risk factors’ that affect morbidity (succumbing to the disease) and mortality (dying from the disease). For most established diseases, for instance major cancers or … Continue reading →

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How COVID-19 kills

Posted on April 28, 2020 by henry tapper

This is what we see More than 190k people have died of COVID-19 worldwide to date. In EU/EEC countries about 30% of infected people require hospitalisation and 4% go into intensive care units (ICU)1. Of those hospitalised, 12% died. Those … Continue reading →

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Stuart McDonald on who’s catching the virus (part 2)

Posted on April 25, 2020 by henry tapper

Stuart’s first tweet thread on the ICNARC data can be read here.  This is part two and it’s co-morbid. The latest @ICNARC report is out. Let’s see if I can do a summary which is both jargon-free and typo-free this … Continue reading →

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By their fruits ye shall know them.

Posted on April 23, 2020 by henry tapper

    Ye shall know them by their fruits. Do men gather grapes of thorns, or figs of thistles? Even so every good tree bringeth forth good fruit; but a corrupt tree bringeth forth evil fruit.  A good tree cannot … Continue reading →

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