Category Archives: coronavirus

What happened in week 10; science from the COVID Actuaries

Posted on June 6, 2020 by

  Every week, more is written on COVID-19 than any individual could possibly read. Collectively, the COVID‑19 Actuaries Response Group read more about the outbreak than most, so we’ve decided each Friday to provide you with a curated list of … Continue reading →

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Facemasks for public use – Nicola Oliver

Posted on June 5, 2020 by

    Introduction The question of whether to protect yourself from becoming infected with the SARS-CoV-2 virus by wearing a mask in public places is one that has been vigorously debated. The counter-argument to mask use is that it will … Continue reading →

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Setting mortality assumptions in a post COVID-19 world

Posted on June 4, 2020 by

Introduction In our first bulletin looking at the impact of the pandemic on mortality, we considered what could reasonably be inferred now about the likely post-pandemic mortality of survivors. In this second bulletin, we explore the question of mortality from … Continue reading →

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What has COVID-19 done to our economy? How can we recover? – Joseph Lu

Posted on June 2, 2020 by

  What has COVID-19 done to the economy? The UK’s economy started the year with a rising stock market and house prices, said to be the continuation of a ‘Boris Bounce’ after a landslide election win that inspired business activity. … Continue reading →

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Is there wisdom in this crowd?

Posted on June 1, 2020 by

This picture was taken in a time of lockdown (May 31st). It was taken at a time when the Government advice is still to stay at home where possible. It is taken in a country that has more than 60,000 … Continue reading →

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C19 Actuaries Friday Report – May 29th

Posted on May 30, 2020 by

Modelling – reports European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control Projected baselines of COVID-19 in the EU/EEA and the UK for assessing the impact of de-escalation of measures As the UK and EU/EEA countries start to de-escalate lockdown and other … Continue reading →

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“He that hath ears to hear, let him hear.”

Posted on May 29, 2020 by

I am very pleased that Con Keating and Iain Clacher’s recent article has got so much attention , both in terms of readers and in terms of social media comment. Though I am one of those who thinks the Pension … Continue reading →

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COVID-19 – our chances IF we survive.

Posted on May 27, 2020 by

      Introduction Given the complexity of the question, and the different facets, we are breaking our commentary on this question into three bulletins: What is the likely mortality of the ‘survivor pool’ in the short term? What are … Continue reading →

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ONS Data and CMI analysis shows how bad UK COVID deaths actually are.

Posted on May 27, 2020 by

The statistics keep coming and our man with his eye on the data is Stuart McDonald (aka @actuarybyday) Here is his interpretation of what’s happening with some sobering thoughts in case we thought it was all over. Latest ONS deaths … Continue reading →

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The still small voice of calm

Posted on May 27, 2020 by

Yesterday was busy for me and  I didn’t have a chance to see the comments on my blog-either on twitter or on the blog during work-time.  The blog called on us to move on and let Cummings be. Yesterday evening … Continue reading →

Posted in advice gap, age wage, coronavirus, pensions | Tagged , , , | 18 Comments