Category Archives: coronavirus

South African mortality from COVID-19

Introduction In this bulletin we review death reporting for COVID-19 in South Africa, with some comparison to the United Kingdom and other global regions. South Africa reported deaths are shown together with comparisons of Case Fatality Rates (CFRs) that may … Continue reading

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WAITING FOR THE VACCINE. C-19 actuaries new monthly medical update

Given the pace of change with ‘all things COVID’, it can be hard – even for those who follow all the updates – to know what the overall state of play is regarding medical developments in particular, as opposed to … Continue reading

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#COVID-19 Actuaries on Deaths, Excess deaths and the Government’s use of statistics

  For months the COVID-19 actuaries bit their lips, knowing that COVID-19 deaths were being under reported. It was in the pubic interest for them not to challenge Government. Now there appears to be a much smaller amount of over-reporting … Continue reading

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Are we getting better at treating COVID-19?

By John Roberts and Matthew Edwards COVID-19 Actuaries Response Group – Learn. Share. Educate. Influence.     Summary Comparing COVID-19 deaths against hospital admissions shows that the in-hospital mortality of COVID-19 patients has roughly halved from April to June. We … Continue reading

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Socially distancing bears – COVID-19 weekly report (wk 19)

Every week, more is written on COVID-19 than any individual could possibly read. Collectively, the COVID‑19 Actuaries Response Group read more about the outbreak than most, so we’ve decided each Friday to provide you with a curated list of the … Continue reading

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Is COVID-19 Seasonal?

Summary Common coronaviruses, like influenza viruses, are highly seasonal diseases, with cases peaking in winter months. As we move out of lockdown and through the summer months in the Northern hemisphere, an obvious question is whether COVID-19 exhibits seasonality, as … Continue reading

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A clap (not a slap) for the NHS

  At 5pm yesterday I was clapping the NHS in hospital , shortly having received keyhole surgery. I have had good grounds for thanking the NHS over the past twelve months. As I  lay in bed last night I could … Continue reading

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Covid-19 actuaries “Super Saturday” report

The Friday Report – Issue 14 (published Saturday July 4th)   COVID-19 Actuaries Response Group – Learn. Share. Educate. Influence. Every week, more is written on COVID-19 than any individual could possibly read. Collectively, the COVID‑19 Actuaries Response Group read … Continue reading

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Enjoy summer safely in a pub?

There wasn’t much surety about Boris Johnson’s messaging in his briefing yesterday evening. The idea that having a few drinks in your local is a good idea is bonkers. I burst into laughter when the Prime Minister told me that … Continue reading

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“Mind the lag”; what we can learn from the States

In America they said the virus was beaten, and the virus wasn’t beaten This alarming chart illustrates the poor job the U.S. has done in containing Covid-19 compared to the European Union, a bigger region of independent countries that suffered … Continue reading

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