Category Archives: coronavirus

What happened in week 10; science from the COVID Actuaries

  Every week, more is written on COVID-19 than any individual could possibly read. Collectively, the COVID‑19 Actuaries Response Group read more about the outbreak than most, so we’ve decided each Friday to provide you with a curated list of … Continue reading

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Facemasks for public use – Nicola Oliver

    Introduction The question of whether to protect yourself from becoming infected with the SARS-CoV-2 virus by wearing a mask in public places is one that has been vigorously debated. The counter-argument to mask use is that it will … Continue reading

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Setting mortality assumptions in a post COVID-19 world

Introduction In our first bulletin looking at the impact of the pandemic on mortality, we considered what could reasonably be inferred now about the likely post-pandemic mortality of survivors. In this second bulletin, we explore the question of mortality from … Continue reading

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What has COVID-19 done to our economy? How can we recover? – Joseph Lu

  What has COVID-19 done to the economy? The UK’s economy started the year with a rising stock market and house prices, said to be the continuation of a ‘Boris Bounce’ after a landslide election win that inspired business activity. … Continue reading

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Is there wisdom in this crowd?

This picture was taken in a time of lockdown (May 31st). It was taken at a time when the Government advice is still to stay at home where possible. It is taken in a country that has more than 60,000 … Continue reading

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C19 Actuaries Friday Report – May 29th

Modelling – reports European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control Projected baselines of COVID-19 in the EU/EEA and the UK for assessing the impact of de-escalation of measures As the UK and EU/EEA countries start to de-escalate lockdown and other … Continue reading

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“He that hath ears to hear, let him hear.”

I am very pleased that Con Keating and Iain Clacher’s recent article has got so much attention , both in terms of readers and in terms of social media comment. Though I am one of those who thinks the Pension … Continue reading

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COVID-19 – our chances IF we survive.

      Introduction Given the complexity of the question, and the different facets, we are breaking our commentary on this question into three bulletins: What is the likely mortality of the ‘survivor pool’ in the short term? What are … Continue reading

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ONS Data and CMI analysis shows how bad UK COVID deaths actually are.

The statistics keep coming and our man with his eye on the data is Stuart McDonald (aka @actuarybyday) Here is his interpretation of what’s happening with some sobering thoughts in case we thought it was all over. Latest ONS deaths … Continue reading

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The still small voice of calm

Yesterday was busy for me and  I didn’t have a chance to see the comments on my blog-either on twitter or on the blog during work-time.  The blog called on us to move on and let Cummings be. Yesterday evening … Continue reading

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