Tag Archives: Coronavirus

Will health insurers be unlikely winners from Covid-19?

  Background Much of the media and public attention is focused on the progression of Covid-19 in terms of cumulative and daily number of cases, deaths and recoveries.  However, for health actuaries, our key interest is in infection rates and … Continue reading

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Do Models help us understand Covid-19- Jimi Adams explains how they do

What are COVID-19 Models Modeling? This article first appeared in the Society Pages Image shows a model of the projected number of observed COVID-19 cases in Colorado under different levels of social distancing, starting March 26. Figure from a report … Continue reading

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icnarc highlights – an actuary explains what the data is telling us (April 17)

ICYMI – I did my commentary on this week’s ICNARC report yesterday, a day earlier than in recent weeks. https://t.co/2TZybdTsTW — stuart mcdonald (@ActuaryByDay) April 19, 2020 Another week, another @ICNARC report. When I dug through this report two weeks … Continue reading

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Actuaries weekly round up ; Covid-19

Every week, more is written on COVID-19 than any individual could possibly read. Collectively, the COVID19 Actuaries Response Group read more about the outbreak than most, so we’ve decided each Friday to provide you with a curated list of the … Continue reading

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The elephant in the care home

New paper looks at early evidence of care home mortality in different countries. Provisionally concludes that about half (42% to 57%) of COVID-19 deaths are taking place in care homes. As a reminder, the 11,329 deaths announced by DHSC are … Continue reading

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How modelling helps us understand and deal with the pandemic.

Introduction Fighting this COVID-19 pandemic requires a good grasp on how the virus spreads, impacts health care demand and could be managed. This bulletin highlights some examples of how mathematical modelling has contributed to the understanding and intervention of this … Continue reading

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Suppression vs Mitigation. What’s this all about?

Introduction Put simply the community of nations is responding to the COVID-19 pandemic by trying to implement a suppression strategy.  The UK government initially proposed an alternative mitigation strategy never before tried in any recorded history, but has now moved … Continue reading

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Social distancing – UK is not like China!

A new paper “An international comparison of the second derivative of COVID-19 deaths after implementation of social distancing measures” has received some attention over the weekend. Perhaps because it was published by individuals from the same university, the paper has … Continue reading

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A heart-warming story from Transport for London

It’s not easy telling your customers not to use your service, but that’s what TFL bosses Chris Macleod, Vernon Everitt and others have been doing for the past few weeks. But as inner-Londoners know, not every form of transport is … Continue reading

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The E , S and G of this pandemic.

This blog calls on us all to be kind to each other  I believe that the way individuals and businesses behave to each other during the coming months will make a material difference to our day to day lives. But … Continue reading

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