Latest mortality surveillance report from PHE shows deaths below normal levels for the time of year in England, as it was in Jan to Mar.
No significant excess mortality in Eng, Wal or NI in week.
— stuart mcdonald (@ActuaryByDay) June 20, 2020
The view in London appears even more benign
— stuart mcdonald (@ActuaryByDay) June 22, 2020
But if anyone thinks we’e over it yet
Germany’s R number leapt from just over 1 to 2.88 in 3 days. That’s how virulent the coronavirus is.
We are walking a greased tightrope, blindfolded, over the bubbling caldera of an active volcano of infection. And we can only see the results of our actions two weeks later. 😱 https://t.co/1siHUnkGfL
— Edwin Hayward 🦄 🗡, UK 🔜 EU (@uk_domain_names) June 21, 2020