Category Archives: actuaries
C19 Actuaries Friday Report – May 29th
Modelling – reports European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control Projected baselines of COVID-19 in the EU/EEA and the UK for assessing the impact of de-escalation of measures As the UK and EU/EEA countries start to de-escalate lockdown and other … Continue reading
Posted in actuaries, advice gap, coronavirus, pensions
Tagged actuaries, COVID-10, Matt Fletcher, Nicola Oliver, sewage
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“He that hath ears to hear, let him hear.”
I am very pleased that Con Keating and Iain Clacher’s recent article has got so much attention , both in terms of readers and in terms of social media comment. Though I am one of those who thinks the Pension … Continue reading
Posted in actuaries, Big Government, coronavirus, pensions
Tagged Con Keating, David Fairs, Ears, Guy Opperman, Joe Strummer, John Ralfe, Matthew, ppf, TPR, Treasury
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COVID-19 – our chances IF we survive.
Introduction Given the complexity of the question, and the different facets, we are breaking our commentary on this question into three bulletins: What is the likely mortality of the ‘survivor pool’ in the short term? What are … Continue reading
Posted in actuaries, advice gap, consultant, coronavirus, pensions
Tagged Covid-19, Matthew Edwards, mortality, Pandemic
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ONS Data and CMI analysis shows how bad UK COVID deaths actually are.
The statistics keep coming and our man with his eye on the data is Stuart McDonald (aka @actuarybyday) Here is his interpretation of what’s happening with some sobering thoughts in case we thought it was all over. Latest ONS deaths … Continue reading
Posted in actuaries, advice gap, coronavirus, pensions
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COVID-19 Actuary’s Friday report (May22)
Every week, more is written on COVID-19 than any individual could possibly read. Collectively, the COVID19 Actuaries Response Group read more about the outbreak than most, so we’ve decided each Friday to provide you with a curated list of the … Continue reading
Posted in actuaries, age wage, coronavirus, pensions
Tagged actuaries, Covid-19, Matt Fletcher, Nicola Oliver
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Is your Mum getting her proper state pension? – Steve Webb’s making sure!
Apologies to readers whose Mums are no longer around and to younger readers whose Mums are still to retire. but the majority of people who read this blog are millennials and boomers whose Mums are drawing the state pension along … Continue reading
Posted in actuaries, advice gap, age wage, pensions, steve webb
Tagged DWP, Grannies, LCP, state pension, Steve Webb
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Stanford’s Contrasting Fatality Estimates
Stuart and Matthew “Estimating the Global Infection Fatality Rate of COVID-19” – Grewelle, De Leo The authors have sought to provide a first estimate of the global IFR using a novel method and data from multiple countries. It seems … Continue reading
Posted in actuaries, age wage, coronavirus, pensions
Tagged Covid-19, Matt Edwards, Stanford, Stuart McDonald
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Chris Daykin compares COVID-19 in the UK to similar countries.
Introduction This note updates and expands my note published on 28 April. Shortly after that note was published the official daily figures for deaths in the UK began to include deaths in care homes and so jumped up sharply by … Continue reading
Posted in actuaries, advice gap, coronavirus, pensions
Tagged actuaries, Actuary, Chris Daykin, Covid-19, Death, international, UK
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IFS says low-earners should quit saving for retirement.
The Institute for Fiscal Studies has called into question the wisdom of many poor earners paying into workplace pensions under auto-enrolment. It is not clear why the small number of people who would probably be better off not sticking with … Continue reading
Posted in actuaries, advice gap, age wage, pensions
Tagged AE, CDC, pension, workplace pension
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Should data be popular?
It was once so easy.. Flattening the curve was a quick and easy answer to the pandemic and was dressed up to give us comfort. So long as we survived the initial onslaught we could return to normal. So Kitty … Continue reading