ONS Data and CMI analysis shows how bad UK COVID deaths actually are.

The statistics keep coming and our man with his eye on the data is Stuart McDonald (aka @actuarybyday) Here is his interpretation of what’s happening with some sobering thoughts in case we thought it was all over.

The Downing Street briefings no longer show international comparisons – perhaps this is why.

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Although Brazil has overtaken the UK as the second worst affected country in the world, our excess deaths are still higher than all our peer nations apart from the US.

The idea that we can walk back into the sunshine now that it’s stopped raining is a bad idea.

For historical balance, I’m reminded by another ace actuary – Paul McGlone that while the increase in mortality rates due to Covid-19 is awful,  it’s not long ago that UK mortality rates were much higher than we’re experiencing this year.

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About henry tapper

Founder of the Pension PlayPen,, partner of Stella, father of Olly . I am the Pension Plowman
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2 Responses to ONS Data and CMI analysis shows how bad UK COVID deaths actually are.

  1. Peter D Beattie says:

    Henry. So is ‘the push to return-to-normal’ purely ‘financial’ rather than ‘public health’. Do any of those so called ‘professionals’ really know what they are doing or ‘just paper qualified’?

    • henry tapper says:

      I would like to think that SAGE is doing a job of ensuring the future isn’t all about money but also about a national care service and a national health service. Of course these cost money and the question is whether people – especially the affluent – will put up with higher taxes to pay for it. So far there has been little sign they will.

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