Tag Archives: actuaries
Should data be popular?
It was once so easy.. Flattening the curve was a quick and easy answer to the pandemic and was dressed up to give us comfort. So long as we survived the initial onslaught we could return to normal. So Kitty … Continue reading
Club Vita’s latest picture of the Covid-19 data.
Club Vita is an actuarial resource that helps pension schemes understand what’s going on death and health wise. It uses big data sets to create pictures which non-actuaries like me can understand. If , like me, you want to understand … Continue reading
COVID-19 Actuaries; (6th weekly report)
Every week, more is written on COVID-19 than any individual could possibly read. Collectively, the COVID19 Actuaries Response Group read more about the outbreak than most, so we’ve decided each Friday to provide you with a curated list of … Continue reading
COVID-19; Out of Africa?
Cases in Africa If the COVID-19 situation and outcome is far from clear and certain in countries such as UK, the same could be said with even more justification for countries in Africa. Just as questions can be asked about … Continue reading
Risk factors for COVID-19
Introduction A primary objective of epidemiology in respect of any disease is to establish the ‘risk factors’ that affect morbidity (succumbing to the disease) and mortality (dying from the disease). For most established diseases, for instance major cancers or … Continue reading
Should the Government be levelling with us (or not)?
Boris Johnson’s most memorable phrase, before his illness was “I want to level with you”. At that stage, telling us that people would die in British hospitals was still newsworthy. Six weeks on and telling us how many are dying … Continue reading
COVID-19 ; International Comparisons
How does the UK stack up against other countries? Chris Daykin has been finding out. Introduction Comparisons between countries of the progress of COVID-19 are complicated by the different effective starting points in different countries and because the number … Continue reading
Actuaries, goats and flamingos; – the Covid-19 weekly report
General On 23 April, the European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control (ECDC) issued their ninth “rapid risk assessment” report on COVID-19 . As with previous ECDC reports, this is a very detailed and informative summary of all aspects of … Continue reading
icnarc highlights – an actuary explains what the data is telling us (April 17)
ICYMI – I did my commentary on this week’s ICNARC report yesterday, a day earlier than in recent weeks. https://t.co/2TZybdTsTW — stuart mcdonald (@ActuaryByDay) April 19, 2020 Another week, another @ICNARC report. When I dug through this report two weeks … Continue reading
Care homes – the elephant is out the room
We can take as the roughest of approximations that the numbers dying in care or at home is about half of the number in hospitals. That would mean that the number who have died outside hospital by now (April … Continue reading