Category Archives: coronavirus

Stanford’s Contrasting Fatality Estimates

Stuart and Matthew   “Estimating the Global Infection Fatality Rate of COVID-19” – Grewelle, De Leo The authors have sought to provide a first estimate of the global IFR using a novel method and data from multiple countries. It seems … Continue reading

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Chris Daykin compares COVID-19 in the UK to similar countries.

Introduction This note updates and expands my note published on 28 April.  Shortly after that note was published the official daily figures for deaths in the UK began to include deaths in care homes and so jumped up sharply by … Continue reading

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And it was all going so well…

Like a cobra poking it’s head out of the Fakir’s basket, like Nessy sticking its neck out of the Loch, the black mortality line is a stark reminder for those who think they’ve got away with it, that Covid-19 is … Continue reading

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#Carehomedynamo – caring for veterans

Lockdown has been great for bringing people with different day jobs together with common interests. In this case it’s care homes. And the person to make contact is David Prowse, who is clearly one of those gentlemen the armed forces … Continue reading

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Stuart McDonald updates us on Icnarc and CV-19

  Latest @ICNARC report was released last night. Here’s a summary on behalf of @ICS_updates and @COVID19actuary, with thanks to @NicolaMedical for holding virtual pen last week. Update includes 449 new patients (8,699 total); 717 new outcomes (6,860 total). Full … Continue reading

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Will Covid unite us and make us kinder?

This little survey by the Office of National Statistics has gone unreported. But it’s worth thinking about. United? There were two Questions: How united or divided do you think Britain was before the coronavirus (COVID-19) outbreak?; How united or divided … Continue reading

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Should data be popular?

It was once so easy.. Flattening the curve was a quick and easy answer to the pandemic and was dressed up to give us comfort. So long as we survived the initial onslaught we could return to normal. So Kitty … Continue reading

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C19 Actuaries weekly report – 16 May

Every week, more is written on COVID-19 than any individual could possibly read. Collectively, the COVID19 Actuaries Response Group read more about the outbreak than most, so we’ve decided each Friday to provide you with a curated list of the … Continue reading

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COVID-19 – your chances of infection

The Office of National Statistics are now publishing statistics that look at the numbers of us UK Citizens who “have Covid-19”. That of course means different things to different folks, watch the video at the end of this blog for … Continue reading

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Club Vita’s latest picture of the Covid-19 data.

Club Vita is an actuarial resource that helps pension schemes understand what’s going on death and health wise. It uses big data sets to create pictures which non-actuaries like me can understand. If , like me, you want to understand … Continue reading

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