It got me going – what with being 64 and having a couple of DC pots I’d like to turn to pension! Thanks to Jonathan Guthrie , here’s the link to the story.
Can anyone stand stagflation on their own?

We’ve all heard of the magic drawdown number 4! Jonathan remind us ..
In the UK, four is .. the magic digit for anxious retirees who are starting to liquidate investments to live on. It is enshrined in the 4 Per Cent Rule, a popular guideline for financial planning. This faces a tough test if economic conditions deteriorate into extended stagflation amid oil price shocks.
I’d add he’s talking to a readership who are pretty sophisticated. 4% may seem a little stingy when you can get 7% on a level annuity if you’re in your 60s, even if you’re in good health! But Jonathan’s thinking of an income that keeps pace with inflation.
Easy-peasy for smart FT readers
The 4 Per Cent Rule, devised by US financial adviser William Bengen in 1994, provides an apparently easy solution to that puzzle: draw down 4 per cent of your fund in the first year of retirement. In each subsequent year, adjust the prior year’s withdrawal by inflation and take out that amount. You should be safely on track for the next 30 years, supposedly.
Ah but “supposedly” is a weasel word in Bracken House – home of retiring journalists!
…my journalist’s natural distrust of everyone and everything kicked in. How well does the 4 Per Cent Rule stand up to stress testing? In particular, what results does it produce during a period of stagflation, defined by sluggish growth, market volatility and sharp falls in the spending power of money?
The article takes you through a series of charts that leads you to the thought that if you had high inflation and low or negative growth on your drawdown pot you’d find yourself pretty soon like the man at the well , with a big bucket but very little water to draw on

I know you want the charts and not the cheesy picture so , as you’ve got this far , here is a free share link to read Jonathan’s article!
He ends by warning us against simple solutions
The problem with the 4 Per Cent Rule in unqualified form is that it can “oversimplify what is one of the most complex financial decisions people will ever make,” warns Ed Monk of Fidelity International, the investments group. “
The original rule was based on historic [US] market data and the idea of a 30-year retirement,”
he adds.
“Neither assumption reflects the outlook for many of today’s retirees.”
Blind faith in a magic number is fine if you are having a flutter … in decumulation, it is best to stay flexible.
My Endgame!
I think that FT readers may fancy staying flexible and having a retirement pot to draw from like water from the well. They probably have the tools to measure how much water is left down at the bottom and manage their affairs like a prudent farmer.
But for most of us (and I include myself) the prospect of managing my deferred pay when I’m in later life is not a prospect that make retirement sounding too relaxing!
So, with best will to the FT’s smartest readers, I’m looking for a way to get paid a proper wage when I stop drawing income from my job!
The pensioners club
Regular readers will know what I mean, and if you’re not – let me introduce you to three letters that bring Jonathan to a club with others in his position (I am one). The club is called “collective DC” and it allows us to pool our pots in a massive well from constantly replenished by flows from others pots and from their salaries (we say “pension contributions”).
Pensioners Clubs are for ordinary people. Pensioners clubs give financial advice to those younger than themselves – this financial advice is free.

They have a point
Such a club to pay pensions from workplace savings sounded fanciful till Royal Mail set up a club for 120,000 staff. It’s working very well for them. No postie needs to worry about the 4% rule!












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We have had through the morning a stream of announcements from various parties








