Is Freedom needed for an epic retirement?

 

I have come to a conclusion after 42 years in pensions that freedom from pensions works for some but only some. David Brown has started a company called Freedom to make it easier to make sense of their savings and have what Bec Wilson calls an epic retirement.

I have spoken to Mark a couple of times and to Damian Stancombe many times more. Their vision is liberal and it fills a gap for those who want an epic retirement that they have control of. Damian and Bec met when he was in Australia on his first retirement and I suspect an answer for many who otherwise would use an adviser is behind this post.

There are a lot of comments from people who I have worked with over the past 20 years. Laurie Edmonds is one

There is a school of thought that people can be educated to be financially up to using the products that have been designed for them. Laurie hopes that everyone can be educated to work out pensions as they have been developed.

Laurie and I disagree on this, I am quite sure that people who are getting on in life are not up to being educated and younger people don’t see the point. Most people do not want to be financially expert enough to work out how to build an epic retirement while the few who do will find Damian and David’s work interesting and maybe of use (without the latter the business has no value).

Richard Smith knows that what most people want is not freedom from pensions but pensions that give them freedom

View Richard Smith’s graphic link

Richard Smith   • 1st

This is an exciting, inspiring, Boxing Day read, David. It made me think …

Scottish Widows have 3 well-tested consumer questions: “1. What have I got? 2. Is it enough? 3. What can I do next?” (see link 1 below to Robert‘s piece about these questions). But with dashboards coming, deliberately leading with Estimated Retirement Income (ERI), NOT pot, as well as Guided Retirement from 2027, these questions might very quickly flex to:
A. What rough monthly income could I get when I reduce or stop work?
B. How much do I want spend over time through my later life?
C. What can I do to make A a bit more, or B a bit less, or both?Pensions conversations will finally start being about pensions again, i.e. later life incomes, and their adequacy, and we can stop obsessing about “savings” and “savers”. As Bec says (link 2 below): “Happy pensioners focus on cash flow, not pot size”Link 1: https://www.scottishwidows.co.uk/workplace-insights/articles/pension-dashboards-answer-the-big-questions.html

There’s a lot to read here but the gist is in the titles. Pension Dashboards will open the doors to those who want to do pensions for themselves (though most of us will still rely on defaults to pay us a retirement income from our pots for however long we are alive).

I don’t think Pension Dashboards will give us am epic retirement but they’ll take us a step along the path to a sound one.


Other views on Freedom

There are a lot of other comments. Chris Wagstaff that despite their being nearly £4bn in funded pensions there isn’t enough to pay the pensions we’d all like to have.

Here David sounds like Torsten Bell, I would agree if I didn’t see the products of tomorrow on the way and looking like the pensions schemes we started out with in the middle of the last century

Josef Pilger wants us to check out what has happened in the Nordics and Holland. The Pension Bill is certainly looking towards the Nordic and Dutch model, a pension rather than a wealth market,


Wealth management -attendants moving chairs on the Titanic ?

Damian Stancombe thinks the problem with advisers promoting the solution as an investment matter.

Clever people like to do clever things so focus on investment strategies and longevity hedges. It’s akin to the deck attendant on the Titanic moving the chairs around before it hit the iceberg. Freedom is about moving the iceberg

I fear that many in pensions make money from managing our investments and little from administrating it. The investment consultants may be attendants on the Titanic but I am not sure whether we can do without wealth managers for those going for the epic retirement, perhaps Damian and David Brown are not quite as one on the value of them!


Various view of freedom and some from Freedom

Here we have a fair representation of the views around freedom and we have yet to hear Mark and Damian’s Freedom solution. I hope that this account of what’s been hosted is helpful.


Is Freedom  needed for an epic retirement?

My conclusion is that there are a limited number of people who want an epic retirement and they will want to feel reassured by the deckchair arrangement of wealth management as well as a payroll solution of the cashflow management and payroll arrangements which looks to be the business of Freedom.

David’s important observation is that people are afraid to spend their money and need retirement pay done for them. If he works out a way for us to do it with Freedom, I think he will have achieved something.

I think he is on to something if he offers better administration of payments  but he’ll need to work out how to work with those who can’t cope with freedom.

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Richard Smith deserves a new year’s honour (this year or next) ! #pension #dashboard

Christmas finds Germany enthused by Richard Smith. We want him back in Britain for the new year.

There is a good argument for advertising good news for the public by a Government keen to be well-regarded by the same.

It won’t be till the end of 2026 that a new type of pension will be launched then (CDC) and the launch of dashboard and CDC may coincide, both pension rather than savings initiatives.

After 20 years moving to advertising pensions as “wealth” and retirement income as “pots”, there will be a re-education of our population about what pensions are before.

Another coincidence will be the arrival of a tax on unused pension pots that have (till then) been outside the grasp of inheritance taxes. From April of 2027 unused pots which have not been swapped for a pension or an annuity will be taxable and may in some circumstances be taxed.

The intention of the Government is to have pots drawn by default either as CDC pensions, annuities or by drawdown with protection against people living too long for the pot. I will add a fourth option which is available to people who are within a year of joining a public sector scheme (including LGPS) , these people can move pots into their pension schemes and get an inflation linked pension (with no caps on the inflation unlike most private DB plans).

My suggestion to the Pensions Minister is that the Government gets behind the Pension Awareness Campaign in Oct/Nov next year and makes it clear to people what is coming up.

My suggestion is that Mr Richard Smith is awarded at least an OBE and most properly a knighthood for the work he has done to get us pension dashboard ready!

Makes everyone an enthusiast

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If $120 bn of AI data centre debt is in SPVs, am I or my pension funding it?

Jon Stapleton has Professional Pensions pointing over the Christmas period to this lengthy article in the FT. I’ve been digesting the article as he had, not least for the final paragraphs The article points out that $120bn of debt doesn’t sit on big-tech’s balance sheets but on those of SPVs set up to front debt raising and keep it off the Tech Group’s balance sheet.. A special purpose vehicle (SPV) is a subsidiary company that’s formed to undertake a specific business purpose or activity

So if not the tech companies raising money who? The answer arrives at the end of the long article.

A number of tech bankers said they had even seen securitisation deals on AI debt in recent months, where lenders pool loans and sell slices of them, known as asset-backed securities, to investors. Two bankers estimated these deals numbered in the single-digit billions of dollars.

These deals spread the risk of the data centre loans to a much wider pool of investors, including asset managers and pension funds. Matthew Mish, UBS’s head of public and private credit strategy, said most investors “feel that actually it’s a good thing you ultimately end up with hyperscaler risk” given these companies’ strong balance sheets and credit profiles.

But Mish added SPV financings still “add outstanding liabilities” for tech companies, meaning the “overall credit quality for the hyperscaler would be worse than what’s currently being modelled”.

I suspect he’s picked up what I’m worried about and that the American bond markets are looking more and more like what we saw in the years leading up to the financial crisis of 2008/9. Capital is being raised, this time for the data centres to fulfil AI ambitions and the capital is coming from somewhere

Private capital investors are keen to get in on the AI boom, boosting demand for these novel structures. Tech companies had borrowed about $450bn from private funds as of early 2025, $100bn more than over the previous 12 months, according to UBS.

And what are these private funds?

A number of tech bankers said they had even seen securitisation deals on AI debt in recent months, where lenders pool loans and sell slices of them, known as asset-backed securities, to investors. Two bankers estimated these deals numbered in the single-digit billions of dollars. These deals spread the risk of the data centre loans to a much wider pool of investors, including asset managers and pension funds.

The bold is mine.

There are two worries that preoccupy and they both are about ordinary people getting caught up in extraordinary finance.

The first is the retail customer. The recent articles that have appeared on this blog about “retailisation” of private stem from discussions with Naomi Rovnik, Ludovic Phalippou and most recently this  sound familiar?  To put it simply, the cascade of risky credit ends with the retail holder of packaged debt which looks good, smells good but is explosive as it was in the Financial Crisis.

The second is that capital is being acquired by a small group of private capital specialists in the US who are buying into and buying out UK pension funds in exchange for bonds that look more and more esoteric. If these are the pension funds mentioned below, the PRA should be worried, if this is what funded reinsurance is exposing UK pensioners to, we should be  worried indeed.

The numbers needed to fund AI are huge and if you’ve read this far, here is the free share of the article from the FT. If you find it’s run out, mail me at henry@agewage.com.

Have a good new year and be careful about these SPVs in your or your pension’s private credit portfolio.

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The delights of OId Harry’s lone Sea Eagle.

We were walking up to Ballard Down by Old Harry and a lady asked us did we know what was above us.

In the clear sky directly above us was a white tailed sea eagle , the sky only troubled by a some gulls accompanying like frigates will an aircraft carrier.

We had no answer to the lady but an elderly couple, walking down to Studland explained that this bird was nesting on the mainland, a spread from the Isle of Wight where it has been reintroduced.

The bird was huge and close and if I was a baby little dog, I would have been frightened. A lone sea eagle , one of 150 in the UK above Old Harry.

This is Dorset as the Isle of Purbeck , a splendid heathland protected by development to a degree that allows Sea Eagles and walkers to climb its hills , stand on its cliffs and enjoy the clarity of its winter light!

 

That these few days out of London and Eton could be for ever but for now they may be a foretaste of retirement in a few years. Yesterday they ended with a sandwich and a ginger beer in the Purbeck golf club, staring across Poole Harbour and down to Christchurch and beyond to the East.

To the north we could make out Wind Green in Wiltshire and the Cranborne Chase where we had been on Christmas Eve.

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Artificial or actual, will lawyers increase our GDP?

Yesterday I published news that the numbers and wages of lawyers in the magic circle of legal firms in London is increasing. My comments focussed on an article in the FT reporting research on American firms bringing in salaried partners rather than UK partners who own the partnership. I was interested in comment and the blog got it .

Here is one of our most sceptical of commentators – Byron McKeeby – who finds one US research paper concluding:

“Lawyers, along with economists, computer scientists, farmers, accountants, engineers, and social workers are among those workers whose efforts and effects ritually
are stereotyped, often humorously and sometimes unfairly.

“We will spare readers a recitation here of jokes about how many lawyers its takes to screw in a light bulb.

“Nevertheless, in this paper, we do not shrink from addressing another almost stereotypical concern concerning lawyers, namely, that they and their work can
constitute an economic drag on society.

“We find reasonable evidence that finds this allegation to be true among the 50 states.

“Our review of the literature revealed no lack of studies concerning the effects of
lawyers on economic growth, but we also found that nearly all previous work on this issue has been international in character.

“Very little research has focused on the impact of lawyers on the economic growth of the 50 states, which is our focal concern.

“Using two different measures of lawyer’s intensity, we discovered that an increase in the number of lawyers per capita has been negatively associated with the economic growth rates of the 50 states, 2005-2018.

“Further, when lawyers are compensated more and their
share of the national income increases, this also has had a negative impact upon state economic growth rates.”

from Do Lawyers Inhibit Economic Growth? New Evidence from the 50 U.S. States, a 2023 paper by James V. Koch Old Dominion University, jkoch@odu.edu and Richard J. Cebula University of Tennessee

Also quick to stoke the fire of this debate is Pension Oldie

The question of value for money can never be far away when considering what legal firms do to enhance or diminish the economy or our bank balances!

Peter will have his say, the legal system beyond his or most people’s affordability. We do not get value for money, we don’t get value full stop – because we don’t have the money.

Which leads us inevitably back to Pensions and the inimitable Pension Oldie

Whether we are of the legal kind or less legal consultants, we need to consider our value to society , the economy and our clients. I am hoping in 2026 we will be doing our best to deliver services to ordinary people as well as the organisations they work for. The taxes that are paid to the public purse depend on all our productivity. We need an alignment of consultants of all kinds to improve GDP. That is the macro measure of VFM. Work harder and smarter, with actual and artificial intelligence.

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Will Harry’s Jukebox beat Willie and the Irish to the Gold Cup?

Harry Rednapp has made so many people’s Christmas with his response to his horse The Jukebox Man, winning the Kempton King George VI Cup

I was watching on a TV at Wincanton and those around me erupted into a chorus of “Harry on the wing“. Bournemouth , where he started his coaching career and ended his playing career is nearby to Poole where Harry lives.

He’s had a lot of fun with the horse at Kempton already

Here is Harry at Cheltenham seeing his horse winning earlier this winter

I didn’t back the horse, thinking that Nicky Henderson could win with Jango Baie and it’s part of the fun that Harry, owning a horse like him will be our nation’s favorite when he makes it to the Cheltenham Gold Cup. Nicky Henderson is a nice man but Ben Pauling as Jukebox Man’s trainer and Ben Jones as his rider, are as much British favorites (see below).

There’s a wonderful quote from 78 year old Harry in my local (the Slough and South Bucks Observor)

“At the moment in jumps racing you’d have Willie Mullins, Paul Nicholls, Nicky Henderson and Dan Skelton in the Champions League and Ben is probably in the Europa League looking to get into the Champions League, that’s where he’s going.

“It would be great for Ben if he could get a King George win and it would be great for me. I’m not sitting here thinking we’re going to win, but I do lie in bed sometimes dreaming of him jumping the last and taking it up and going clear.”

In one post race interview yesterday, Harry told the camera “I thought I would be 4th coming over the final fence”, the horse won by a neck and made my day. I didn’t have a penny on him but I think we all won the jackpot.

I will watch this video from end to end for many a winter’s day till spring and Cheltenham come.

We have a horse to put up against the Irish best! Harry may not have managed our football team but he manages our country’s racing hopes for the Cheltenham Gold Cup.

Betfair’s 2026 Gold Cup odds (in the blue shaded box)

 

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The super-lawyer in London.

I am wondering what is happening to the law in London.

This amazing story, published when we had nothing better to do than eat turkey, is this in the FT.

So what is in it for all the lawyers in London? The answer seems to be in following the big American surge in technology

I speak as an outsider to all this but doesn’t this show a different view of Britain than that we read in the papers and hear from commentators on TV?

I know that this blog is read by some magic circles law firm associates and partners

They will be encouraged by this chart

It is very easy to worry about the changes in the business world from technology. Britain is at the heart of this and not just in a line from Cambridge to Oxford. It takes a kink into London – the City of London especially!

 

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Might we win? We might win! We just beat Australia in two days.

This is a sequel to the blog on the first day of the two day boxing day ashes test match.

Yesterday, I was pretty sure we were- as we lost our first three wickets for eight runs- buried for a fourth day and the umpteenth tour down under – in a row – down and out.

We may still lose this match and my phone has run out as I lie under the sheets so I’m blogging at tea time which is somewhere near 4 am.  This is the second Christmas time blog in two days and it will almost certaintly carry us through to the end of what Jonathan Agnew is calling a “a train out of control heading for the buffers”.

The score a few minutes in is 95-2 with England only 80 runs or get bowled out and then the match will be over and the weekend that we had planned will not quite happen!

This is what happened to Australia in its second innings by the way, it should have been a two day innings, but it wasn’t.

Here is the applause for the triumphally dead Shaun Warne and here is our score (it’s gone up quite a lot since I last typed!

I fell asleep when Head’s wicket fell and look at how boring Australia were, for not having strike rates over 75. England are rattling along at around 6 an over and Phil Tufnell is talking like we’ve got there yet and we haven’t.

There are of course people waking up to this and having no idea of what’s happening. Those like me, who have been up most of the night are able to make some kind of logical narrative of all this – not that any of it matters (as we’ve lost the Ashes) as the Australians in the house will no doubt remind us.

There are 92,

000 in the stadium to watch the game, no one will be watching tomorrow but there is a sell out for tomorrow and this is going to cost $13m (Aus.) from ticket and TV refunds. This reminds me that the length of grass on a wicket means so much, the groundsman is the villain!

Of course this is how we manager our relationship with Australia over finance. I am reading Bec Wilson telling us Brits how to live our retirement. I bet she is being taken more seriously in the light of this test match series!

Here is a comment on the blog she wrote for the Times (published here yesterday)

When considering the Australian Super system, we have to remember that employer contributions of 12% of Ordinary Time Earnings are mandatory with rules concerning lump sum and irregular payments but with no compulsory employee or self employed contributions.  So it is effectively employers that are funding the Australian pension system and it is not essentially a savings based pension system like the DC system in the UK.

In the UK the employers effectively funded the guaranteed defined benefit system that was the norm until the 1980s or 1990s and which fell out of favour partly due to employers claiming the cost was too high and put them at a competitive disadvantage against international competitors (particularly US owned enterprises).Perhaps we should back at our previous experiences before trying to import yet another pension system which is likely to have unforeseen future consequences.

Bec is all about doing sensible things all of the time. You can’t do that in favouring the bowlers. Bring back five day games, struggling to get much beyond the tea-break on the second day. This is the second two day match after the Perth test (which we lost).

Sport definitely doesn’t include spending Christmas upside down for me. I was at Wincanton racecourse yesterday watching great racing in the West Country and even greater racing at Kempton (“Harry on the wing” as we used to sing at Bournemouth)

Crawley’s lost his wicket as I reminisced about yesterday! We’re still hitting fours as Root is in and surely we cannot lose with 59 (now 56) runs needed. It’s 5 am and we have hours more to go today (and no rainclouds to save the groundman and the accountants).

Joe Root has now batted 3o – now 31  balls without scoring a run and wow- he scores a run off his 32nd ball over two innings (20 balls with a run in innings one).

That’s Yorkshire in the man I suppose someone will say. Soon it will be 50 for the match and soon it is! Now they are talking about a 20 overs game tomorrow when the test match will be over.

We are under 40 runs to go but Bethell’s lost his wicket at 40 when he was threatening to be the first batsman in the match to get to 50 (which only Root can do now). The commentators see the possibility with Brook in to lose it from here but Brook is defending.

We get four byes which makes Root 12, extras 12 and runs till this innings is the highest of the test’s four – 12. I should have been an actuary (not).

Root is out with less than 20 runs left and Stokes at the crease.

We are now 10 runs away from victory and the Barmies are an army at the MCG.  But our captain is the 6th man out with only four wickets left (and Atkinson injured).

7 runs now after wicky Smith gets a three. Blogging every run/wicket left in the match .

Brook hits a four with a head down whistler with a flick of the wrist. Three to go and Brook wants to do it with one ball with a Baz Ball.

Three days to score 3 runs.

There’s a no ball or two and the scores are level

There are leg byes for four and England have won their first Ashes in 15 years.

In play? – It’s over!

 

 

 

 

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An Australian vision for our pensions – perfect for a Boxing Day!

Today sees a Boxing Day match between England and Australia at cricket (Australia have a first innings lead of 42). On this blog there’s a match between Tom McPhail and Bec Wilson and you can read Tom’s innings here. Bec’s innings is laid out below., (also first appearing in the Times).

We means-test the state pension in Australia — the UK should too

Times Money’s retirement specialist says there’s a reason this unpopular idea refuses to go away, and that’s because it works

Pressure is building on the UK’s state pension, and most people know it. Something has to give. The uncomfortable question is what. There are about 278 pensioners for every 1,000 working-age people in the UK. That’s a ratio of just 3.6: 1. Back in 1948 when the basic state pension was introduced there were about five workers for every pensioner.

In simple terms, there are fewer workers supporting more pensioners, and for much longer. As life expectancies increase, the cost of funding the state pension is only going one way: up.

Retirement is now expected to last close to three decades for many people. It’s no surprise that younger and middle-aged workers worry about whether the system will still work by the time they get there, while older workers wonder whether the rules will change just as they reach the finish line with fear.

That’s why one idea keeps resurfacing, usually whispered rather than shouted: should the UK be means-testing the state pension?

When it comes up, the reaction from people approaching retirement is immediate and emotional. “No. I’ve paid in all my life. It’s my right. I was promised this.”

So means-testing the state pension feels like having the rug pulled out from under you. But despite how unpopular the idea is, it refuses to go away. And that’s because the pressure on the system really is building.

With fewer working-age people supporting more pensioners, governments are left with three choices. They can raise taxes to fund 25 to 30-year retirements for everyone. They can reduce the real value of the state pension by moving away from the triple lock. Or they can adjust the system more fundamentally, encouraging higher levels of private saving while focusing state support on those who genuinely need it.

Means-testing sits firmly in that third camp.

But if we’re going to talk seriously about it, we also have to talk about how people save, what incentives are offered, and what the government wants people to do over a working lifetime to prepare for retirement.

In Australia, how much the state pays you in retirement is based on the value of your assets, your homeownership status and if you’re in a relationship.

Having seen the system in action, I don’t think the idea of means-testing should be dismissed. But it only works if it’s part of a long-term vision.

Here are three lessons from Australia that the UK should take seriously.


Means-testing only works if people can build their savings

You can’t means-test the state pension unless you incentivise people to save more for their retirement. Let’s face it, under any sensible test today, most people in the UK would still qualify anyway. Most private pension pots are simply too small to fund a comfortable retirement on their own.

But if the state pension becomes more of a “last resort” safety net, people have to be helped to build enough private savings to stand on their own two feet.

Anews is the UK is already part-way there. Defined contribution pensions (where you build up a pot based on what you and your employer pay in, plus investment growth) are now the norm, and auto-enrolment is doing what it was designed to do. Unless they opt out, most workers now contribute a minimum of 5 per cent of their salary and their employers 3 per cent. People are saving something. That “something” isn’t enough, however.

In Australia, when compulsory employer pension contributions, (superannuation), were introduced in 1992, about 80 per cent of people of pension age were relying on the Age Pension, despite it being means-tested. The response wasn’t to cut support, but to increase national saving gradually. Minimum contributions started small and were increased over time. They’re now 12 per cent, and tax breaks are given to incentivise employees to pay in extra.

Some people will ‘game’ the system, so what?

Whenever means-testing comes up, someone says to me, “People will just game the system.” Of course they will. In Australia, it’s practically a national sport.

I spend a lot of my time teaching people how to use the system well. Australia’s means-tested Age Pension and superannuation system are designed to work together. For people with an ordinary savings pot, understanding how they interact can make the difference between scraping by and something close to a comfortable retirement.

Yes, people with more wealth can spend more early and then qualify for a higher state pension later. That happens. But for people who’ve saved reasonably well, deliberately twisting your finances just to qualify for a bit more usually isn’t worth it. The same money, sensibly invested, delivers far more flexibility and comfort than a slightly higher government payment.

The design matters too. Australia’s system works because the pension tapers gradually. You don’t lose everything for doing the right thing. You’re still better off overall. And as people spend their savings in later life, many see their pension income rise.


Saving needs to be safe and worthwhile

We need to believe that saving will benefit them in the long term, and won’t be punished by making your worse off later on. They also need confidence that the rules won’t suddenly shift just as they get there.

Australia’s system works because the expectations are clear. The Age Pension is means-tested and if you have more you will get less government support. Saving is encouraged, expected, tax-effective and mandatory. And changes are usually signalled well in advance and “grandfathered” — meaning they do not affect those close to or already in retirement, only those who get plenty of warning.

If the UK ever moves towards means-testing, this is non-negotiable. It would need a long-term approach, clear and apolitical communication, and robust grandfathering. A few more tax concessions that encourage more people to save would help too.

None of this is easy. Means-testing the state pension would be a hard sell, and few politicians have the appetite for long-term reform.

But politicians who take the long view do get rewarded.



Bec Wilson is Times Money’s retirement columnist and the author of How to Have an Epic Retirement, out in the UK on December 11

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We need to save for our futures before we end up like the French – Tom McPhail

I hope you had a happy Christmas and are queuing up for a happy new year! Here is Tom to help you as you wait to get going again!

Here is a belated Christmas present, Tom for boxing day. Maybe a Times subscription is a new year present to yourself?

Or maybe you’ll be choking on your cornflakes trying to digest Tom’s view of our State and Private Pensions.


TOM MCPHAIL

We need to save for our futures before we end up like the French

Higher government spending on pensions will only make the state system more unaffordable

Just how generous is the UK’s state pension? Proponents of the triple lock, that magical heads I win, tails you lose mechanism that ensures the state pension absorbs an ever greater share of our economic output, might argue that by international standards our state pension is so shamefully niggardly that it needs to be raised. The triple lock, with its promise that payments will go up in line with the highest of inflation, earnings growth or 2.5 per cent is simply righting an historic wrong, they would argue.

There is some truth to this argument. International comparisons are complicated and must take account of many factors, such as demographics, tax rates, qualification periods, employment laws and more.

The UK spends a little over 5 per cent of its economic output on pensioner benefits, compared with an average of about 7 per cent for the 38 wealthy nations in the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD). Several countries spend more than 10 per cent, including Greece, Italy and France (more on the French in a moment).

The UK’s new state pension of about £12,000 a year represents a net income (after taxes) of about 54 per cent of average earnings — considerably lower than the OECD average of more than 61 per cent and an EU average of more than 68 per cent.

This is  not the whole picture though. For historical reasons the UK’s system relies more heavily than many others on funded quasi-mandatory workplace pensions, as well as private individual pensions such as self-employed self-invested personal pensions (Sipps). The UK’s funded pension system dwarfs the rest of Europe, with more than £3 trillion in assets, and after the US the UK is the second largest centre of finance in the world.

The fact remains though that on a simple measure of relative pensioner poverty the UK is lagging behind. Noting that relative poverty is a slippery metric to use, because if you want to reduce relative poverty you could just reduce average incomes across the board and, magically, relative poverty would reduce. Nevertheless, here in the UK 14.5 per cent of over-65s were living in poverty in 2022, compared with 5.8 per cent in France, where the state pension gives a net replacement rate of just over 70 per cent of average income, according to the OECD.

So there we go, we should be more like the French, right? Spend 12 per cent of GDP on pensions like they do and all will be well?

Not so fast. There’s a variety of activities at which the French have traditionally excelled where we can now give them a decent run for their money: making wine and soft cheese, cycling and going on strike spring to mind. When it comes to pensions too, I think our prospects may be better than theirs.

The French population is a bit older than ours, with a median age of 43 compared with 41. They have a higher proportion aged over 65 and slightly higher life expectancy. So their demographic challenge is more acute than ours. The French system is built almost entirely on state provision, and this is where they are in trouble. The French national debt is about 115 per cent of GDP, compared with about 100 per cent here — we’re both in a hole, but theirs is deeper.

They’re running a budget deficit of more than 5 per cent, so they’re still enthusiastically digging that hole. What’s more, to get this budget through they had to agree to suspend the legislation raising their retirement age from 62 to 64. Yes, you read that right, they get to retire at 62. This, I suspect, is why when you look at international comparisons of pensions (see OECD, Mercers and the House of Commons library) the French system scores well for adequacy but poorly for sustainability.

Every country finds its own way. It is notable that many of the highest-scoring pension systems have a significant share of privately funded savings alongside their state pension, including Australia, the Netherlands and Denmark.

The path to adequacy, sustainability and fairness here lies in maintaining the state pension at least at its existing level, improving welfare for the over-65s in poverty and, above all, in increasing the amount of our income we invest in our workplace and voluntary pension savings.

Tom McPhail

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