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“The older I get, the less I trust my pension!”

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English: June 30 pensions trike marchers in Br...

English: June 30 pensions trike marchers in Brighton from the RMT. (Photo credit: Wikipedia)

An interesting observation from Gerry Barwell in 140 characters

When I interview consumers on AE/ wider pensions – the barrier of mistrust is significant. Less so in the young but for 40+

Which gives us the opportunity to speculate on what generates trust in pensions and why experience is “trust degenerates” with age.

When I was 25 in 1987, the personal pension was launched. It seemed the answer to our dreams

It was as if all our Christmases had come at once.

Back then annuities were bought at 1 for 10; £100,000 bought £10,000 of income

We illustrated investment growth at 13%- according to the rule of 75, money would double every 6 years.

So there were charges but these were insignificant compared to the illustrated returns.

Wind forward 25 years. There has been no growth in equity markets for nye on 13 of them, annuity prices have doubled, your £100,000 barely buys you £5000 of pension and a 2% charge on your pension represents one third of your anticipated return. Money is now expected to grow at half the original 13%, money now doubles every 12 and a half years.

Employers have long since stopped contributing to personal pensions unless you are the Chairman , CEO or own the shooting match. Instead of portable pensions , we have “operation small pot” designed to stem the fragmentation of people’s pension holdings between multiple personal and occupational arrangements.

To cut a long story short, the vision I and my colleagues had for Personal Pensions and FSAVCs has been shattered like the dream for financial empowerment that drove it. People have long since given up being “Sid” and decided they have better things to do than become their own chief investment officer.

The magic of my vision has been besmirched by scandal after scandal, pension mis-selling and the Equitable Life collapse on the retail side, Maxwell , ASW and the countless broken promises to occupational pension scheme members at the corporate end of the spectrum.

It is not hard tos ee why experience tells people not to trust pensions.

But there is something worse than this, worse than the failures and the scandals and the shattered expectations. This the failure of nerve to call time on the failed experiment and move back to what Frank Field called our “Economic Miracle” the system of not-for-profit occupational pension schemes that set out to provide proper pensions for the staff of the companies in the UK– great and small.

The failure of these schemes is only partial. Millions are enjoying great pensions arising from the contributions and prudent management of these plans over the past fifty years. Many of the larger schemes are still open and with the public sector, it is still the expectation that whether the promise is funded or unfunded, the link to a salary based guaranteed pension forms an essential part of the working covenant.

Nevertheless , the concept of future accrual within corporate schemes is broken and will not easily be fixed so long as shareholders have to absorb risks not just of investment markets but of changing demographics explicitly the seemingly inexorable increase in people’s life expectancy.

With a broken DB sector and a distrusted DC promise, the time is ripe for a new vision, something that reverts to the best of the past but employs the technology of the present. Though market conditions are tough and demographic challenges tougher, the prospect of “ambitious pensions” as laid out by Steve Webb, should be enticing to pensions people keen to win  back ailing support.

For me, the saddest failure is the failure of nerve among my generation to put some ambition back into what we do.  There is risk averse and risk reverse and we are driving the pensions bus to the back of the cul-de-sac. We urgently need to find some forward gears.

People are looking for some pensions leadership. They may be getting some from Steve Webb and from Gregg McClymont and Ed Milliband at this week’s Labour Conference. But there is precious little thought leadership coming from the major actuarial firms, or the life insurers or the IFA community and this saddens me.

Across the North Sea there exists a model that is producing 50% more income from its DC accumulation than in the UK. We laugh at it, laugh at its lack of guarantees and shun it like some leprous sore on the face of our pristine system. Except our system is no longer pristine. “The Older I get, the less I trust my pension” – my father’s phrase.

Please God I do not live so long – at least without some more ambition than my generation are showing!

 

 

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