Tag Archives: Covid-19

They don’t do plagues like they used to

Posted on September 3, 2020 by henry tapper

“Solitary, poor, nasty, brutish, and short”. Hobbes described the natural state of mankind in Leviathan and we would do well to remember that we never had a plague so good. Continue reading →

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Friday report from the COVID-19 actuaries: – includes “surviving quarantine”

Posted on August 21, 2020 by henry tapper

The Friday Report – Issue 19 By Matt Fletcher, Nicola Oliver and John Roberts COVID-19 Actuaries Response Group – Learn. Share. Educate. Influence. COVID-19 is still one of the hottest topics for scientific papers and articles. The COVID‑19 Actuaries Response … Continue reading →

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South African mortality from COVID-19

Posted on August 3, 2020 by henry tapper

Introduction In this bulletin we review death reporting for COVID-19 in South Africa, with some comparison to the United Kingdom and other global regions. South Africa reported deaths are shown together with comparisons of Case Fatality Rates (CFRs) that may … Continue reading →

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WAITING FOR THE VACCINE. C-19 actuaries new monthly medical update

Posted on August 1, 2020 by henry tapper

Given the pace of change with ‘all things COVID’, it can be hard – even for those who follow all the updates – to know what the overall state of play is regarding medical developments in particular, as opposed to … Continue reading →

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Are we getting better at treating COVID-19?

Posted on July 17, 2020 by henry tapper

By John Roberts and Matthew Edwards COVID-19 Actuaries Response Group – Learn. Share. Educate. Influence.     Summary Comparing COVID-19 deaths against hospital admissions shows that the in-hospital mortality of COVID-19 patients has roughly halved from April to June. We … Continue reading →

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Socially distancing bears – COVID-19 weekly report (wk 19)

Posted on July 11, 2020 by henry tapper

Every week, more is written on COVID-19 than any individual could possibly read. Collectively, the COVID‑19 Actuaries Response Group read more about the outbreak than most, so we’ve decided each Friday to provide you with a curated list of the … Continue reading →

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Is COVID-19 Seasonal?

Posted on July 9, 2020 by henry tapper

Summary Common coronaviruses, like influenza viruses, are highly seasonal diseases, with cases peaking in winter months. As we move out of lockdown and through the summer months in the Northern hemisphere, an obvious question is whether COVID-19 exhibits seasonality, as … Continue reading →

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“Mind the lag”; what we can learn from the States

Posted on June 27, 2020 by henry tapper

In America they said the virus was beaten, and the virus wasn’t beaten This alarming chart illustrates the poor job the U.S. has done in containing Covid-19 compared to the European Union, a bigger region of independent countries that suffered … Continue reading →

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Will the pandemic leave us sicker? – the Covid-19 actuaries discuss

Posted on June 25, 2020 by henry tapper

Introduction Our recent Bulletins[i] on mortality impacts of the pandemic considered the likely (short-medium term) mortality of the surviving population, and how a mortality investigation could reasonably be done post-pandemic. In this Bulletin we consider the longer-term impacts of the … Continue reading →

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Care homes – forgotten by us- not by Covid

Posted on June 17, 2020 by henry tapper

This article can also be found at the COVID-19 Actuaries website http://www.covid-arg.com Introduction In their weekly analysis of deaths, the Office for National Statistics (ONS) reported that the total number deaths in excess of 5-year averages in the 12 weeks … Continue reading →

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