“Moving beyond the obsession with regulating for risk”- Chancellor Healy

John Healey has told the FT

he wanted government decisions on tax and other policy areas to deliver “higher levels of confidence, investment, profit for British businesses”, adding that financial services were not seen widely enough as “the foundation and engine of greater investment and therefore potential growth in this country”.

This meant moving beyond the “post-financial crash obsession with regulating for risk”, he said, arguing for a better balance between risk and growth.

This is the ambition stated by our new Chancellor and it should send a tremor though the pension world which has been dominated for the last 20 years by an obsessions with “de-risking”. The obsession has concentrated on  the process of de-risking pension risk to a point that we no longer provide pensions but instead hand over pots. This is not “de-risking” but risk transfer to those who are least able to take it.


No longer investment , “pensions” are now just taxation

Since the risk of paying pensions has been minimised to it, the employer is instead  obliged to pay what has become a tax.  Auto-enrolment contributions are taxes that are paid into a  a few wealth funds which are called “workplace pensions” but which pay pots but no pensions to their beneficiaries (the staff).

The risk of paying back the money accumulated to those saved is no longer with employers. To retune to John Healy’s quote, the job of regulating for risk has been completed and it has driven us down a cul-de-sac out of which we need to reverse.

It will not be the employers risk , it will be shared between staff in collective pensions. The task for private sectors employers will be to participate in  collective pensions and  fund them to  levels needed to meet staff’s expectations.


De-risking has become an obsession with protecting wealth

Those who have regulatory power or influence are generally in DB pensions , being in the public sector. They get to hear the private sector through the ABI and Pensions UK who have an obsession with protecting the wealth of those they represent.

With the focus on retirement saving about pots , there is a new obsession, on how to protect it from being taxed when it passes to another generation.

The FT observes.

…. from next April, pensions will come within the scope of IHT, significantly increasing the number of people who will have to pay the tax — and sending feelings of both dismay and fear through those who have built large pots.

According to Clare Moffat, a pensions and tax expert at Royal London, IHT is now almost all her clients want to talk about. At a recent webinar the pension provider held, the panel received 56 questions on IHT submitted in advance. “And we weren’t supposed to be covering it as a [subject],” she says.

The problem with wealth as a risk is threefold.

  1. We are as a nation getting older
  2. We are getting more wealthy
  3. We see retirement not as a time to draw a pension but to save for others

But the people who are making the noise about inheritance are vocal but few, when compared with what Bernard Levin used to call “the silent majority”.

For those who have inherited money. a house with mortgage paid off and often a pension accrued in early days, the risk is that wealth may not “cascade down the generations” as John Major dreamed when prime minister.

The important thing for Andy Burnham, John Healy and Torsten Bell is to ignore the loud voices of the wealthy and focus on the needs of this silent majority who will not have adequate pensions – there’s 15m of them who have no fear of inheritance tax but the prospect of a massive wage cut in retirement with the financial horror of later age when the cost of social care is most likely to bite.

While Reform and Conservative parties battle with each other as to how much to reduce welfare bills (a further extension of regulatory risk-reduction). It is of course not risk reduction but of risk-transfer with no obvious opportunity for those who have limited wealth or income to pay the bills.

This is why we need to focus pensions not on the needs of the 20% who have issues with inheritance tax but the 80% who have inadequate resource to meet the needs of their own later life.

Answers for the rich and poor

The answers to problems with IHT for the wealthy can be resolved through whole of life insurance or through the purchase of an impaired life annuity (the choice depends on whether the worry is living too short or dying unexpectedly when healthy).

The problems of adequacy can only be sorted by a replacement of a focus on wealth with one of the retirement wage. It will of course need more money paid in but this cannot happen till private pensions become popular again. There is silent approval of the pensions earned in the public sector and private misery that there are no private pensions being earned. That is because of the de-risking of pensions to the point that they are no longer being earned by most of us.

We need to make “pensions” popular again and that means a move to collective pensions and away from personal pension pots. For a generation who are at a point when they could take a pension (let’s say those 55 to 75), the question is when moving to retirement income is possible and the pension dashboard will go some way towards helping people recognise how far they are from reducing or ending work.

But we will need Retirement CDC and Guided Retirement to move people to affordable retirement when they are pot-dependent. The annuity guarantee will be de-risking too far for most of us.

The workplace collective pension (CDC) will begin the process or re-risking pensions to a point that they can grow enough to meet John Healy’s ambition and reduce regulatory de-risking”.

Pensions have been de-risked to pots by regulation and as Healy says we need to move beyond the obsession with this regulatory risk.

We need to re-risk pension funds to create the growth that people need to get paid a proper wage and the country to be re-capitalised.

It will take a time to undo the damage of regulatory de-risking . But we have a much wider workforce who can get a retirement wage. We have greater inclusion in future pensions and a chance to do what the Pensions Commission II has been set up to promote.

 

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Well done TPT – first of the CDC challengers to break cover.

All of the crew at Pensions Mutual wishes TPT every success as they set out on their CDC journey. We sound like we have a similar pathway to authorisation and launch and hope that we can compete to offer employers and their staff the best that collective pensions can deliver.

Thanks to IPE for the support you are giving Collective Pensions.

 

TPT Retirement Solutions is targeting the launch of its multi-employer collective defined contribution (CDC) scheme with around 12,000 to 14,000 members, significantly above the 5,000-member level it had initially expected to need to establish the fund.

The pension provider said it expects to submit its application for authorisation to the Pensions Regulator (TPR) in the coming weeks, with an internal target of launching the scheme around mid-2027, subject to regulatory approval.

Paul Eagles, head of CDC at TPT, said the provider had initially been targeting around 5,000 members for launch, although the regulatory framework suggested a scheme could potentially be established with around 1,500 members.

The figures reflect interest from employers that TPT expects could move members into its multi-employer CDC arrangement, rather than confirmed membership on day one.

TPT plans to stagger the entry of employers during the first year of the scheme rather than bring all interested employers in simultaneously.

Andy O’Regan, chief client strategy officer at TPT, said the provider was already discussing how prospective sponsors could be grouped for entry.

“We won’t be able to put all of our interested employers in on day one because of the timing,”

O’Regan said.

“So, we’re going to be staggering, bringing them in through that first year of launch.”

Andy O’Regan at TPT Retirement Solutions

Andy O’Regan at TPT Retirement Solutions


Authorisation

TPT has been developing its CDC proposition for around three years. The plans follow the introduction of regulations allowing multi-employer CDC schemes to operate, with the legislation coming into force on 31 July and TPR releasing application forms and guidance on 3 August.

Once submitted, the authorisation process can take up to six months. O’Regan said TPT was therefore working towards a 2027 launch.

“We say to prospects: authorisation submission is 26 and launch in 27,”

he added.

The provider said demand was not expected to be a barrier to launch. It is already receiving detailed plans from employers about moving their DC membership into the CDC arrangement, with some engaging as much as 12 months ahead of the expected launch.


Employer interest

TPT said interest was coming from both existing clients and employers that do not currently use its services. Eagles said the provider held discussions with hundreds of employers, with only a small number indicating that CDC was not suitable for them.

Interest has been identified across sectors including housing, charities, independent schools and building societies.

TPT expects demand to increase once the first multi-employer CDC scheme is operational.

Eagles said:

“I think we’re expecting it to be a bit of a snowball effect.”


Moving DC members into CDC

A key element of TPT’s proposition will be the ability to transfer members’ existing DC pots into the CDC arrangement.

Under the approach being considered, active members would be notified that their DC pot would be transferred and given the option to opt out, rather than having to actively opt in.

TPT’s CDC proposition is designed as a whole-of-life arrangement, with members accumulating a target pension rather than an individual pot. Contributions would be pooled and invested collectively, with target pensions adjusted through annual actuarial valuations.

TPT expects CDC to offer higher expected retirement outcomes than conventional DC, while acknowledging that benefits are targets rather than guarantees. For employers, the attraction is the prospect of higher expected retirement incomes without increased contributions or the open-ended funding risk associated with defined benefit.

 

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This problem isn’t over for 5m leased households – TILL ANDY BURNHAM TAKES ACTION.

Yesterday, late on Friday afternoon the Directors of the leasehold management company  of 5 and 6 Friar Street sat down to discuss how we could manage our property.

We would have liked to have done so as the owners of the freehold (known as common hold) but this is not on the agenda.

We would have liked to know why our insurance keeps going up despite us never making a claim (we have no broking capability).

Most of all we would have liked to know why we pay on average £1250 a year to the freeholder for the privilege of living on his little plot of lands (on average we lease 800 square feet of land).

Last week I had a £10 lunch (as cheap as you can get) with Harry Scoffin. I hope he cheered him up, I’d like to think I helped him to produce this great work of defiance!

Norma says it better than I can, and Harry says it better than the both of us as the words come from deep within him!

We have a good relationship with our managing agents which means we get things done and have as good a relationship as you can with a freeholder we know nothing of.  It could be M&G who own a lot of residential freeholds. If they think that it’s earning them any ESG brownie points with me, they had better think again.

We have two more years to pay our freeholder an outrageous sum. I will be 107 before the £250 disappears -assuming that Burnham does what his predecessors  pledged but never did. Heh- like many others among the 5m leaseholders in England , Wales and Northern Ireland, I envy the Scots who did away this iniquity some time ago.

Watch Harry Scoffin’s video and then send it to anyone you know who’s a trapped leaseholder. If you know anyone who’s benefiting from freeholds – send it them as well.

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Where else can you ask questions to LCP partners about collective pensions for free?

Join us at 10.30 am on Tuesday September 8th for a cracking conversation with two of Britain’s top CDC consultants.

I am aware of charge-out rates for top consultants at top consultancies and I’m amazed that two such – Helen Draper and Steve Taylor of LCP, are offering themselves for free for an hour on Tuesday of next week (September 8th).

We will be recording the session as we always do and for many, that will be the way to digest Helen and Steve’s answers , but I think the winners among those in the Pension PlayPen’s audience will be those who participate. So come along and join in the hour long conversation.

CDC is undoubtedly the most interesting development in the workplace and the concept of Collective Pensions the natural progression from the DC master trusts we have today.

I’ll ask a few questions to kick things off and I’m sure they will have some things to say, but this is a Pension PlayPen coffee morning to share experience and discuss the future.

Please add to your calendar and click here or post the link below into your diary. It’s at 10.30 am online. (Tuesday 8th September)

https://teams.microsoft.com/meet/349110786671465?p=44cRsS3vjiqJGdW8aF

It’s back from work and feet under the table and we’re having the first Coffee Morning since Maggie Rodgers and the AMNT at the end of July.

The great news is that the two LCP partners, Steven Taylor and Helen Draper will be talking with us and answering some of the questions that have been “sent in” below. I expect there will be many more from the coffee drinkers who assemble to participate (don’t worry you don’t need to if you don’t want to)!

We will not be constrained – we will venture into all aspects of this amazing topic.

What we’ll be discussing on Tuesday at 10.30 am is Collective Pensions (as the DWP would like us to know CDC as).

Is that a good name for CDC and what should Retirement CDC be known as? Callum Stewart has asked our opinion on CDC that won’t be with us till 2029 and which bifurcate opinion.

What do we think for the prospect of R-CDC as the experts call it? So far it’s WTW who say they’ll do it – do we think there’ll be more?

How do we feel about transfers of pots into pensions not just at retirement but before the pension is about to pay out? Should Trustees be agreeing bulk transfers and if so can such transfers be made without member consent? Does it matter if the pot is in a sole employer occupational scheme, master trust or maybe one day a group personal pension? How much authority in this does the employer have and what role does the union play?

And for all the talk, who’s walking the Collective Pension walk? TPT has put its name up and so has Pensions Mutual, a mysterious third CDC know variously as Arboreum and Collective Pension is lurking. Isio have made mutterings about getting authorised as a Proprietor and Aon are promising to get launch a workplace plan some time in 2028. We hope we have the Church of England joining the multi-employer CDC schemes that have been open to authorisation just over a month now.

What LCP think about this will be revealed at 10.30 am on Tuesday 8th September. The link to join will be posted on http://www.pensionplaypen.com (events) and on future versions of this blog so you can cut and paste it into your diaries.

If you don’t use a digital diary you can click through from one of the posted links and find yourself in others either expert or beginning their Collective Pensions (CDC) journey!


Please add to your calendar and click here or pastthe link below into your diary. It’s at 10.30 am online. (Tuesday 8th September)

https://teams.microsoft.com/meet/349110786671465?p=44cRsS3vjiqJGdW8aF

 

 

 

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Problems with American annuities do not bode well for British pensions selling at a discount.

I cannot see a happy end to this story – either in America – or in Britain, where much of annuity insurance written is backed by American insurers and American private credit.

In America, annuities do go belly up and need to be bailed out. Here is a comment following Dean McClellan’s post and the article that he quotes

The guarantees that back American annuities that insure people’s “wage in retirement” are financial instruments which are backed up by private credit which is itself a guarantee of payment made by financial promises that obscure rather than transparent.

Cracks have started to appear in the private credit and no doubt cracks will follow in American insurance writing American annuities.

In the UK we consider L&G, Standard Life, PIC, Just and Utmost are British insurers insuring British pension schemes providing British people with “wage for life” pensions.

But these British guarantees are no longer British. They are backed by American guarantees from American insurers backed up by American private equity.

So when Dean McClelland points us to an article that is written for Americans and has the headline

We should sit up and ask us what this means for the UK buy-out/buy-in Bulk Purchase Annuity Market. I read in all the surveys by the consultants involved in this BPA that the slowdown in business written since 2024 is because of the recovery of funding in our private funded DB pension funds.

I suspect that many funds are looking to run on because they see surpluses as a treasure to be enjoyed. But I suspect that there is also a sneaking suspicion that the offers from the majority of insurers tendering to buy-out their pensions are not as strong as we might suppose.

As always in these things , we will only discover if what I , Dean and others are saying has got substance in years to come. But that won’t stop me and others pointing to risks that do not need to be taken. We no longer need to buy out DB pensions , indeed many schemes that have bought-out or are in the process need not have done at any time. If they had listened to First Actuarial and the very few like Keating pointing to the madness of mark to market accounting as a way to value liabilities, then we would never have had this bonanza for insurers.

If we’d stuck with “Best Estimates” we’d still  have had funded pensions which were invested for long-term growth, rather than a reliance on American insurers, reinsurers and their private credit.

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Millions of British people turn to AI to plan their finances

Millions turn to AI for financial advice despite FCA warnings

Why do people need to turn to AI to plan ahead financially?

In case we have forgotten, what we bought into with that savings plan, that personal pension plan, that life insurance plan, was that we could, if sticking to the plan have the finance in place to do what we want as we grew older and that our family could be protected if we weren’t around.

The idea was that as we got older we need not do the planning as it would be taken care of for us by the plan. But that cozy view of financial planning went out the window some time ago and it was replaced by wealth management and tax planning which look to maximise the money not to meet the financial needs we have as grow old.

People need to turn to AI to plan ahead because there are no plans that they can buy. They must instead work out how to plan ahead with whatever help is available. That help has magically made itself available for free on our phones, tablets or if we are old fashioned on our “computers”.

According to Zable’s research, 61 per cent or 21.6 million of UK consumers do not feel confident that they know what they are doing with their finances.

That is not what we expected when we started out , when endowments , whole of life and ten maximum saving plans were expected to get us to our goals. There is no replacement for the certainty of the original financial planners. Instead there are a range of financial options including Bitcoin and derivatives that claim they can get us where we want to go with the help of intelligence that is touted as from humans no matter how artificial.

The research also found that 62 per cent of consumers turn to online or other unregulated or informal sources for financial planning advice.

I have no way to verify that this is the case, but I am quite sure that two thirds of people, young and old get help from unregulated and informal advice because they don’t want the alternative. The alternative is “formal advice” which is “regulated” and therefore very expensive. People know that financial advice involves paying for the compliance to the regulation that financial advisers have to follow.

The cost of advice is mirrored by its unavailability to most people. The demand for regulated financial advice is high enough among the well-off that financial advisers (now often called “wealth managers” will work with those who have tax problems rather than needs to turn their pension pots to a wage in retirement, protect the family and make provision for growing frail and needing care.

So there are not regulated financial advisers most people can afford or who want to deal with us. That is particularly the case for those starting out who used to save for times ahead using plans.

According to Zable, the findings show the potential risks as consumers use AI and other online sources to navigate financial decisions without always understanding if the information is regulated.

Having spoken to a few younger adults about this and talking with my peers, I get the impression that what people want is help with the financial plans they have which focus on buying a house , having a way to retire and making sure the family are protected (young and old).

This is what “money helper” was brought in by the Government but it is not interactive as the new AI human-like advisers are. They rely on generic information not direct answers to our questions and when we press the service we invariably find ourselves pointed to regulated financial advisers.

The problem for the Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) is that the cost of regulation is that it has priced financial advice out of most people’s budgets. Employing a financial adviser is too expensive for youngsters and was never envisaged by older people who were told they had bought plans that would do the planning for them.

Actually, we need AI to meet the need we’ve always had and which was promised us either through the workplace or through sales people. The workplace pension scheme that paid a wage, share plans for cashing out, endowments for paying off the mortgage and  insurance which paid to family if we got sick or died.

The FCA needs to find a way to turn the artificial intelligence that’s available to answering questions from people on what is replacing what youngsters know their parents and grand-parents have and had. Meanwhile those at the other end need to know how what to do with what they’ve planned with. They need to know how to turn their pot to pension , how to find ways to pay housing costs or let the house pay income and meet later life health costs

Right now , we have the tools in marvellous free artificial intelligence; but we need a way to make it safe for all of us to follow. That’s the next great job for the FCA!

 

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LCP’s Steven Taylor and Helen Draper talk CDC at our Tuesday coffee morning (8th Sept).

Please add to your calendar and click here or post the link below into your diary. It’s at 10.30 am online. (Tuesday 8th September)

https://teams.microsoft.com/meet/349110786671465?p=44cRsS3vjiqJGdW8aF

 

It’s back from work and feet under the table and we’re having the first Coffee Morning since Maggie Rodgers and the AMNT at the end of July.

The great news is that two LCP partners, Steven Taylor and Helen Draper will be talking with us and answering some of the questions that have been “sent in” below. I expect there will be many more from the coffee drinkers who assemble to participate (don’t worry you don’t need to if you don’t want to)!

What we’ll be discussing on Tuesday at 10.30 am is Collective Pensions (as the DWP would like us to know CDC as).

Is that a good name for CDC and what should Retirement CDC be known as? Callum Stewart has asked our opinion on CDC that won’t be with us till 2029 and which bifurcate opinion.

What do we think for the prospect of R-CDC as the experts call it? So far it’s WTW who say they’ll do it – do we think there’ll be more?

How do we feel about transfers of pots into pensions not just at retirement but before the pension is about to pay out? Should Trustees be agreeing bulk transfers and if so can such transfers be made without member consent? Does it matter if the pot is in a sole employer occupational scheme, master trust or maybe one day a group personal pension? How much authority in this does the employer have and what role does the union play?

And for all the talk, who’s walking the Collective Pension walk? TPT has put its name up and so has Pensions Mutual, a mysterious third CDC know variously as Arboreum and Collective Pension is lurking. Isio have made mutterings about getting authorised as a Proprietor and Aon are promising to get launch a workplace plan some time in 2028. We hope we have the Church of England joining the multi-employer CDC schemes that have been open to authorisation just over a month now.

What LCP think about this will be revealed at 10.30 am on Tuesday 8th September. The link to join will be posted on http://www.pensionplaypen.com (events) and on future versions of this blog so you can cut and paste it into your diaries.

If you don’t use a digital diary you can click through from one of the posted links and find yourself in others either expert or beginning their Collective Pensions (CDC) journey!


Please add to your calendar and click here or pastthe link below into your diary. It’s at 10.30 am online. (Tuesday 8th September)

https://teams.microsoft.com/meet/349110786671465?p=44cRsS3vjiqJGdW8aF

 

 

 

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Mortgages under threat like in 2008?

British banks are increasingly pledging higher-risk assets such as loans linked to high-interest store cards and vehicle leases as collateral at ​the Bank of England, a Reuters review of BoE filings shows.

This explanation comes from Reuters, a team who have been covering the use of private credit by insurance companies  to secure pensions with Bulk Annuities.

Ian Fraser explains how private credit finds its way into the Bank of England and is exchanged for cash that pays our mortgages.

This time , the product that’s being supported by overseas private credit is not the pension purchasing annuity but the cash that lets us buy houses with a mortgage.

Reuters analysis of the BoE’s Level C collateral list showed that the British central bank accepts a range of products in categories that the ECB has disallowed,under its tighter rules, on acceptable loan security, including several debt products that package up and sell the future payments on homeowners’ mortgages.

We’ve been here before

The securitisation of mortgage-backed debt and other loans was a major contributor to the 2008 financial crisis as it encouraged risk-taking by lenders who were able to quickly sell the debt on.

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Little is “untoward” if it promotes Reform. Governance is whatever Reform wants it to be.

This video is worth the watching (though it is nearly 30 minutes long). It is a program from Channel 4 that explains how Reform gets their funding.

We are considering how they might manage our Government and oversee the governance of what matters to us – including our pensions which they intend to involve themselves, if voted to power.

I find Reformation’s definition of “untoward” is flexible. It can mean whatever Reform wants it to, provided that Reform can get away with.

Except this “sting” is fresh and follows earlier accusations which are being looked into by the authorities. They have led to a decline in the popularity of Reform.

Reform’s lead in the polls has withered in recent months. Polling by YouGov showed that the words voters most associate with Farage are “racist” and “liar”.

Reform has denied all wrongdoing once again. But the sting will overshadow the party’s annual conference in Birmingham this week, where it was already battling to shake off revelations about its finances.


The FT comment

These tactics of Reform may have worked with Donald Trump in the USA but will they work with Nigel Farage in the UK? That depends on how much weight you give to popularism’s place in our society.

From a pension point of view, if we consider this kind of behaviour  acceptable , we might as well tear up the pension funding rules!

 

 

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Who’d have thought that Collective (CDC) Pensions would be making such headlines?

Lauren Branney’s appointment as head of CDC is not something I’d expect to read this time last year and it’s encouraging that top actuarial consultancies that are independent of delivery of either DC or CDC are taking Collective Pensions seriously. It’s good to see Professional Pensions (above) and Corporate Adviser (below) making this a headline.

Of course there are not “old” CDC heads for her to replace so she is the first and only head of CDC. But what an opportunity.

I came across her 3 months ago, when she promoted her colleague’s work. That is very much in the CDC spirit of sharing!  I am pleased that Hymans Robertson is taking collective pensions so seriously.

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