Debate pension surpluses – tomorrow 10.30 am

Christos Christou is a  PMI Professional Trustee and has produced a proposal to the Pension PlayPen . For more details about Christos scroll to the bottom of this blog.

Paste the link below into your diary


The Challenge

• Based on DWP’s impact assessment (Sept 2024), the Government’s surplus extraction framework will mobilise around ~£8.4bn over 10 years.
• It is tax-leaking, complex, requires new regulations and first extractions are not expected until 2027.


The Complementary Policy Enhancement Solution

• Raise the cap on sponsoring employer securities from 5% to 10%, but only for schemes in surplus on a low dependency basis.
• Incremental headroom applies only to new securities issuance, ensuring fresh capital flows to employers for productive investment;


The Impact

• Creates ~£50bn headroom within DB pensions in surplus on low dependency basis (out of £1.24tn total DB assets as of Sept 2024), a headroom figure that TPR could further refine with scheme-level granularity.
• Realistic mobilisation: ~£20–30bn, triple the government’s current projections, with no tax leakage.
• Strengthens sponsor balance sheets, improving member security.


The Safeguard

• Only schemes in surplus on low dependency qualify.
• Assets remain within the pension scheme
• Trustees retain full fiduciary control.

Mobilisation Scenarios

Scenario Take-up Utilisation Mobilisation

Conservative 40% 60% £12bn
Base 50% 80% £20bn
Ambitious 75% 80% £30bn
Maximum 100% 100% £50bn


Timeline

• Can be included in the upcoming Pensions Bill.
• No new regulatory guidance required.
• Deliverable in 2026 with the passage of the Pensions Bill


Conclusion

A simple legislative adjustment could:
1. Unlock £20–30bn of productive finance.
2. Accelerate delivery of the Mansion House agenda.                                                                   3. Protect members through actuarially grounded safeguards, as low dependency avoids covenant- related judgements.                                                                                                               4. Strengthen UK employers and boost growth.

About henry tapper

Founder of the Pension PlayPen,, partner of Stella, father of Olly . I am the Pension Plowman
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