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Media 1- parliament 0 ; democracy’s penalty o.g . in the last minute

Join here to continue next Tuesday 10.30

So how did the budget compare with your forecasts? Here is how the markets responded to the news – as broken by the OBR and then confirmed by the budget ( media 1 v democracy 0)

The market ended up liking the budget – certainly relative to expectations. How about you?

We will be doing our review of the budget on Tuesday – you’re welcome to join us.

Here’s what we were saying the day before the budget.

Here’s the FT’s assessment of the budget , the evening after the lunchtime speech by Rachel Reeves. Thanks FT

We’ll be serious about this for a moment next Tuesday!


Budget 2025: What you need to know

Here are the key points from Rachel Reeves’ second Budget. It raises taxes by £26bn, taking the burden to an all-time high of 38 per cent of GDP by the end of the parliament.

Main announcements:

  • Freeze in personal tax thresholds extended from April 2028 until April 2031.
  • Salary sacrifice pension contributions will be capped at £2,000 a year before national insurance applies.
  • Council tax surcharge will be applied to homes worth more than £2mn from April 2028.
  • Two-child benefit cap will be scrapped.

Other key measures:

  • Tax rate on dividends, savings and property income to rise by 2 percentage points.
  • Electric vehicles will be subject to a mileage-based charge.
  • Online gaming levy to rise from 21 per cent to 40 per cent, while the levy on online sports betting will increase from 15 per cent to 25 per cent.
  • Tobacco duty up, fuel duty freeze phased out from September 2026, all parcels from overseas have to pay customs duty.

Fiscal and economic outlook:

  • Fiscal headroom is £22bn, up from £9.9bn in March, but still below the 2010-22 average of £31bn.
  • Growth forecast raised for this year but then cut, compared with March projections.
  • Inflation at 3.5 per cent in 2025, higher than the 3.2 per cent forecast in March.
  • Productivity growth forecast to be 1 per cent over the medium term, 0.3 percentage points below the estimate in March.

You can of course compare the Pension PlayPen’s version of what the speech should be with what the FT told us happened – on social media.


Being serious for a moment

You can join us on Tuesday to be a part of a little more social media as we record our reaction (see below).

But what we know for sure is that all the protocols that Torsten Bell had been trying to keep throughout the autumn were smashed by the OBR, a moment of the Pension Minister giving Rachel Reeves the new was caught live – it’s like watching your net bulge in the last minute.

Torsten the central defender must have had his heart in his hands as he got news of the OBR own-goal.


Having a Greta Garbo moment next Tuesday at 10.30am.

I’ve no idea why it’s called the Greta Garbo discussion but Steve Goddard’s Christened it so and if you scroll to the end of the blog you’ll get’s Byron’s musing on how Garbo is being dragged into this sordid social media advertisement!

Join here or use the code below

Coffee Morning – The Greta Garbo Budget….A discussion! CPD included

Type -Online

When – Tuesday 2nd December 2025 at 10:30am

You are cordially invited to attend our next Coffee Morning event.

Following the Budget on Wednesday 26th November 2025 we will be holding another “Round Table” debate on the Chancellors announcements…Is she holding on by her “fingernails”?

Our table panel will include Professor Mike Bromwich, Fiona O’Hara, John Quinlivan, Dr Con Keating, and Henry Tapper.

Join here or use the code below

https://teams.microsoft.com/l/meetup-join/19%3ameeting_ZTNmNGM1NTYtNjBmNi00NDUwLTliZDktMDZiMTMyYjI4Yzlj%40thread.v2


Byron’s musing on Greta Garbo

Byron McKeeby says:

At the time of her death in 1990, Greta Garbo’s estate had a net worth of $70 million, equivalent to approximately $170 million in today’s dollars.

Her wealth came not only from a successful acting career but also from her savvy investments and astute financial management.

or, do you mean

“Greta Garbo syndrome”, after the reclusive Hollywood actress, whose most famous on screen utterance was “I want to be alone” and “I just want to be alone” in 1932’s Grand Hotel?

It’s said to apply to a growing number of workers who seem to care little for socialising with their colleagues.

The Swedish actress claimed she never said, ‘I want to be alone,’ in a 1955 article in Life magazine.

“I only said, ‘I want to be let alone!’ There is all the difference.”

Thanks to this anonymous quote which has arrived since the original publication of this blog. It takes this line a little further.

The quote attributed to Garbo was in reply to a diminutive film director who had this interchange
Director
“I’m going to screw you?”
Garbo
“If you do, and I find out about it…..”
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