2022 and gilt yields – how did pension schemes get it so wrong?

What a wonderful chart. If you do nothing else, play it as a video. Then consider the past two years and ask yourself

How did pension schemes get it so wrong?

We were given ample warning of the crisis that was to beset leveraged liability investment.

We did not have the governance measures in place to take hedges off before the gilt yields rose.

As a result billions of pounds of productive investment was lost to meet collateral calls

We believe we have escaped from this without damage, but in 2022 UK DB occupational pension schemes lost £600bn and the leverage nearly broke the market.

We must learn from this.

 

 

 

 

About henry tapper

Founder of the Pension PlayPen,, partner of Stella, father of Olly . I am the Pension Plowman
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5 Responses to 2022 and gilt yields – how did pension schemes get it so wrong?

  1. John Mather says:

    “ We believe we have escaped from this without damage, but in 2022 UK DB occupational pension schemes lost £600bn and the leverage nearly broke the market”

    Who won?

  2. John Mather says:

    “We believe we have escaped from this without damage, but in 2022 UK DB occupational pension schemes lost £600bn and the leverage nearly broke the market”

    Could you expand on who profited from this mess

  3. Chris Giles says:

    Two words missing from the headline – “private sector”!

  4. Richard Bryan says:

    Given that the prediction of rising rates was wrong for nearly a decade, why was the 2021 onwards prediction any more believable? Interesting though, is how the outcome seems to have ended at one extreme of the other of the prediction bundle.
    On the same note, I recall seeing an animation of the development of the yield curve over the years – another graph that had an almost mainiacal thrashing about. Unfortunately I can’t find it now..

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