Five chapters to get our Pensions satisfying us in 2050 – really?

The Pensions Commission is a little light on what we have already that can help us get through to 2050. I’ll only be 89 then and hope I’ll have plenty of life in me!

Here are the 5 sections of the Commission’s report that I’d like to add some lustre too. We could be a lot further to 2050 than we think!

I don’t think there’s much sense in a very long executive summary followed by chapter summaries (not to forget chapter 6 which is a conclusion.  So I will re-publish the 5 chapter summaries and add to each chapter a few thoughts on what we could do better with what we’ve got.

We can do one thing that we haven’t done and that is get this message over to those who are under 40. I don’t see much youth on the Commission. We’re the lucky ones who are pulling up the drawbridge on our children to enjoy retirement in our moated castle.

The choice that Chapter One sets me is whether to be smug  , whether to share my wealth through taxation,  or whether to find ways that younger people can participate in what I’ve got through productivity and investment. All of these are possible – we have the tools to hand.


We have some of the best data on how rubbish we are at saving and how poor we are and will be in retirement. We have the capacity to produce any number of reports looking at our income n retirement and it will always come back to the same conclusions, we haven’t got enough from savings . I’m not sure this deserves a chapter but all these reports sent to Pension Commission had to find a place other than the waste paper bin or “trash” as my folder calls this stuff.

When it comes down to it , we have those who are being bullied into saving via auto-enrolment and those who chose not to or do so reluctantly (contributing as little as the employer let’s them).

Employers are fine so long as you have one but many people don’t have a boss – either because they are unemployed, self-employed or simply not being in a position to look for work. 40% of us are like this and though we are at record lows of unemployment , it is not going to be solved by the Pension Commission. We don’t have a way to force people into employment! We don’t have a way of making people save more other than turning auto-enrolment into pension taxation.

To get through to 2050 , we are going to have to be resilient. There are those in their 90s who can remember what it was like during the second world war and those in their 80s who can remind the austerity of rationing, but those of us born from the mid fifties have never really had it hard and while things may not be quite as good as they were 20 years ago, we are a pretty cossetted society. We are going to have to relearn resilience if things get worse over the next quarter of  century. Tough! The millennials like me may have to pull in our fat tummies!


This section has got all the attention because it points at the three groups who get a bad deal out of the pension system, the self-employed, the women who can’t do a full career’s work and people who don’t earn much for a host of reasons.

I could point out a few things that people could do to make things better. The self-employed can save into Nest though nobody tells you and you have to work hard to find out any details.

As with so much else in the Commission’s report I find a lot of blogs on the issue. I also find reports such as Prospect’s gender pension gap research, with the 8th edition due out in a couple of months.

This is how I find the first four chapters which takes us to page 143 and perhaps the most contentious of the report.

This report doesn’t pull any punches.

Having saved throughout their working lives, people deserve and rightly expect access to fair, stable retirement incomes. Yet relying on individuals to actively engage with the complexity of decumulation decision-making does not always appear to be
effective.

While government is taking steps to support decision-making at retirement, this support must operate as a genuine default wherever possible. Strong, well designed defaults are essential to ensure that the vast majority of savers – regardless
of level of engagement, pension wealth, or demographics – is protected from the real possibility of declining standards of living the longer they live

Instead it demands changes – which is what the Pension Schemes Act is going to deliver (subject to secondary legislation) and what CDC is already delivering and could deliver a lot more when regulation is in place. This gets a couple of paragraphs.

Infact chapter 5 is a little long and a little tedious a  rehearsal of so many reports that have been produced over the past ten years.

In its conclusion, the Commission states

The State Pension is delivering what the first Commission recommended, but private pensions are not doing enough.

Let’s not get too angry with the private sector and remember that it hasn’t been till the 2025 CDC legislation that CDC has become good enough for everyone but the Royal Mail. Steve Webb tried to introduce CDC in 2015 but it took ten years to get agreement of what could deliver.


Conclusions are hard to find

There are five chapters and a lot of introduction and conclusions. But it is hard to see what the next steps can be. There are solutions to most of the problems identified that need to be implemented.

It’s a lot of pages to get to conclusions that this blog and those who write me blogs and commentary came to some time ago. The Pension Commission will not have a problem to solve that hasn’t got an answer waiting for someone who will listen!

 

 

About henry tapper

Founder of the Pension PlayPen,, partner of Stella, father of Olly . I am the Pension Plowman
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1 Response to Five chapters to get our Pensions satisfying us in 2050 – really?

  1. John Mather says:

    You will not solve the retirement problem at the level of thinking that created the problem. Consider an alternative of NOT providing welfare/pensions as money but providing what is required for a sustainable lifestyle.

    As many of you know I am dyslexic so I put the ideas in AI to improve my explanation of the idea

    Policy Brief: Transitioning from Financialized Pensions to Universal Basic Services (UBS) in the AGI Era
    To: HM Treasury, Department for Work and Pensions, and Cabinet Office Policy Advisors
    Subject: Addressing Structural Pension Failures via Direct Resource Provision (“Life as a Service”)
    Executive Summary
    The UK’s post-1945 financialized retirement model is fundamentally failing to deliver adequate income for a significant majority of the population. Relying on financial proxies (cash, equity markets, and private investments) introduces systemic risks—including market volatility, inflation, and wealth concentration—that individual citizens are ill-equipped to manage.
    With the imminent arrival of Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) and hyper-automation, the traditional tax base (human labor) will contract, rendering cash-based pension schemes unsustainable. We recommend a paradigm shift from cash-based welfare to Universal Basic Services (UBS) for Retirement, or “Life as a Service” (LaaS). This model directly guarantees the material requirements of life—housing, healthcare, nutrition, and care—funded by reclaiming unproductive wealth and capturing the productivity surplus of AGI.
    The Core Concept: Direct Resource Provision
    Policy makers must decouple retirement security from financial markets. Instead of distributing monthly cash dividends that retirees must convert into inflated private markets, the state should directly provide the foundational pillars of dignity in old age:

    Guaranteed Housing Infrastructure: De-commodify retirement housing by absorbing hoarded real estate assets into a state-managed, universally accessible network of independent and community-assisted senior living.
    Automated Logistics & Nutrition: Leverage AGI-driven breakthroughs in vertical farming, automated agriculture, and autonomous supply chains to guarantee direct, zero-cost delivery of nutritional needs and municipal transport to all retirees.
    Integrated Eldercare & Health: Deploy AGI predictive diagnostics and automation to reduce healthcare delivery costs, providing comprehensive, dignified social care without a profit motive.
    Strategic Funding Mechanics
    Funding this transition requires shifting from a tax on labor to a tax on capital and automated productivity.
    1. The Sovereign AGI Dividend
    As AGI compresses the wealth of millions of human workers into tech monopolies, the state must implement an “Automation Levy.” Rather than traditional corporate taxation, the state should take a direct equity stake in core AGI infrastructure, channeling its physical output (compute, automated energy, and logistics) directly into public retirement services.
    2. Wealth Capping & Resource Reclamation
    The top 2% of the market accumulates capital far beyond consumption capacity. Policy should pivot from taxing transactional income to targeting unproductive capital. This involves reclaiming asset-hoarded real estate and repurposing underutilized wealth into the public trust to anchor the physical infrastructure required for UBS.

    Implementation Roadmap: The Hybrid Transition
    To mitigate economic shock, a phased deployment is recommended:
    Phase 1 (Immediate): De-commodify Care. Absorb all social and eldercare costs into a state-funded service, immediately lowering the cash threshold required to survive in retirement.
    Phase 2 (Medium-Term): The Public Housing Trust. Levy heavy penalizing taxes on properties left vacant or held purely as financial instruments, absorbing them into a state-guaranteed retirement housing portfolio.
    Phase 3 (Long-Term): Full AGI Integration. As autonomous supply chains mature, roll out automated food, energy, and transport services, systematically reducing the state pension’s cash component to a minor discretionary stipend.
    Conclusion: The objective of an advanced, automated society should not be to turn every citizen into a successful asset manager, but to render financial survival obsolete after a lifetime of societal contribution.

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