
Saturday was one of those blessed days when stars aligned, Yeovil beat Wealdstone away, Bournemouth beat 10 man Arsenal and Eamonn O’Connor’s horse Tamfana finished in the frame in the QE II Stakes at Ascot.
But I came down the stairs early on a Sunday morning. with a hangover having celebrated the Windsor Ukulele orchestra’s triumphant appearance at the Christopher Wren last night- a little too assiduously. (For those who follow these things, its singer is my partner – who is happily recovering her equilibrium!)

One turns in such times to John Plender, a voice of reason. I had been saving up reading his article on de-risking (published Friday) for a Sunday Morning, remembering Wallace Stevens and Sunday morning which I first read at Cambridge days 45 years ago
Complacencies of the peignoir, and late
Coffee and oranges in a sunny chair,
And the green freedom of a cockatoo
Upon a rug mingle to dissipate
The holy hush of ancient sacrifice.
Plender hits the nail on the head
Plender guides us through a narrative of value destruction wrought by trying to de-risk our retirement experience and ends
Even if we accept that there is scope for pension professionals to work towards more effective de-risking, there is no escaping an important underlying reality. Defined contribution schemes, collective or otherwise, are not really pension schemes. As Clacher and Keating point out, they are no more than tax privileged savings funds — ultimately, a second best answer to the challenge of obtaining a secure income in retirement. We forget that at our peril.
Which is the conclusion I have come to , after 41 years of explaining to people that the only way to properly hedge the risks of inflation is to invest in real assets that provide inflation plus returns over time. I mean those assets that carry the short term risk of illiquidity and of volatility in short-term valuation. And the culmination of a lifetime’s work is not a savings fund but a wage for life from the investment of those savings,
Investment to me is a way of letting others do the hard work for me, something which I am getting rather better at as a I enter my mid-sixties. In a poem co-joined in memory (and written at much the same time) Eliot ruminates
Because I do not hope to turn
Desiring this man’s gift and that man’s scope
I no longer strive to strive towards such things
(Why should the agèd eagle stretch its wings?)
Why should I mourn
The vanished power of the usual reign?
I do not mourn the vanished power of whatever reign I had because the fruits of 41 years’ saving are now paying me a pension which is enough for me to stop work. I have a secure income in retirement (why should the agèd eagle stretch its wings?)
And yet, here I am – at the keyboard at around 5.30am staring over the Thames , where the silent cormorants sit on their perches, before the dawn but clearly outlined in the light of the moon,

Some of my friends are dying, they will not be able to read my blog next year.
So I will keep on writing and publishing the life-affirming work of Keating, Clacher and McGrath, who happily convene in Plender’s splendid piece from which I have quoted.
I am not dying , or at least not dying very fast. Consequently I will continue to invest in assets that protect me in the long-term from the value destruction of inflation, assets that aim to provide a real return , not merely an insurance – assets that work as hard as I have done.
Because when those forbidding birds collect outside your front window, you know that you are best to dissipate the holy hush of ancient sacrifice and remain deadly calm in as you face the great unknown.
The hunter’s moon is beyond me and Dvorak’s song to the moon is on the radio. I ask you to listen to this wonderful recording and then read Plender’s splendid article. It will give you a rather better perspective than I can!
And you might like to think about Wallace Stevens’ life affirming scepticism that reaches its apotheosis in this magnificent stanza
We live in an old chaos of the sun,
Or old dependency of day and night,
Or island solitude, unsponsored, free,
Of that wide water, inescapable.
Deer walk upon our mountains, and the quail
Whistle about us their spontaneous cries;
Sweet berries ripen in the wilderness;
And, in the isolation of the sky,
At evening, casual flocks of pigeons make
Ambiguous undulations as they sink,
Downward to darkness, on extended wings.
That’s some glidepath!
The Plender article says “If a [DB] scheme is passed to an insurer … such transactions …
entail substituting the backing of the well-funded Pension Protection Fund for that of the industry-funded but MORE GENEROUS [emphasis added] Financial Services Compensation Scheme.
I’m not sure some commentators on this series of blogs – Peter Beattie, for example – would agree.
Plender also goes on to suggest the robustness of the insurance industry’s regulatory capital requirements is open to question since insurers may transfer much of the risk to reinsurers in offshore tax havens where solvency requirements can be less stringent.
I posed a question about the use of reinsurers on this morning’s Zen/Y webinar on The Evolution Of Innovation In Insurance From Lloyd’s Coffee House To Lloyd’s Lab.
I was not encouraged by an answer that the Prudential Regulation Authority is apparently scaling back its monitoring of capital adequacy because the regulator has such confidence in the participants.
Wonderful. So at a time TPR is endorsing / encouraging the large scale transition of say £250bn-£500bn of pension obligations due to working people to an oligopoly of often opaque bodies (in terms of where the ultimate risk is carried), the receiving regulatory body is scaling back its oversight (no doubt that’s in case they create some necessary caution and friction on the bulk annuity duckshoot).
You really couldn’t make this up.
My question about reinsurance is at 26’51” in, till about 29’17”.
The answer from Lloyds is, basically, trust us to manage our reinsurance agents.
The PRA seems to me to be backing off in a number of areas in the guise of adopting Basel 3.1 without imposing additional capital buffer requirements.
https://youtu.be/ZLLaf7MgEQg
Nice blog Henry.